Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Lillestrom.
Before kick-off the model made it 66% Bodo/Glimt, 21% draw, 13% Lillestrom — fair odds of 1.52, 4.76 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bodo/Glimt at 66% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Nikita HaikinG
- 20Fredrik SjøvoldD
- 4Odin Luras BjørtuftD
- 5Haitam AleesamiD
- 15Fredrik André BjørkanD
- 8Sondre AuklendM
- 7Patrick BergM
- 19Sondre FetM
- 11Ole Didrik BlombergF
- 17Ola BrynhildsenF
- 10Jens Petter HaugeF
- 16Joshua KitolanoM
- 21Andreas HelmersenF
- 25Isak Dybvik MäättäD
- 77Mikkel Bro HansenF
- 23Magnus RiisnæsM
- 1Julian LundG
- 6Jostein GundersenD
- 2Villads NielsenD
- 32Kasper SolhaugM
- 12Pontus DahlbergG
- 2Lars RangerD
- 28Ruben GabrielsenD
- 47Stian KristiansenD
- 11Frederik ElkærD
- 29Ylldren IbrahimajM
- 26Yaw PaintsilM
- 18Kevin Martin KrygardM
- 14Gustav Kjolstad NyheimM
- 20Felix VáM
- 10Thomas Lehne OlsenF
- 8Markus KarlsbakkM
- 7Karl Linus AlperudM
- 77Fredrik GulbrandsenF
- 6Harald WoxenM
- 3Sturla OttesenD
- 1Stephan HagerupG
- 5Sander Moen FossD
- 15Gustav NordhF
- 9Kparobo ArierhiF
Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
- W3-0away to Sandefjord26 July 2026
- W3-0Ham-Kam22 July 2026
- W1-0Fredrikstad17 July 2026
Lillestrom
- L1-2Viking22 July 2026
- W2-1KFUM Oslo18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 17 | +35 | 50 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
- 26 April 2026Lillestrom 0–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 22 March 2026Bodo/Glimt 4–0 LillestromNM Cupen
- 1 December 2024Bodo/Glimt 5–2 LillestromEliteserien
- 1 May 2024Bodo/Glimt 2–4 LillestromNM Cupen
- 14 April 2024Lillestrom 0–5 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 30 October 2023Bodo/Glimt 3–1 LillestromEliteserien
Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
- A. Helmersen8 goals1 assists
- K. Høgh7 goals4 assists
Lillestrom
- Vá5 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.