Eliteserien · Regular Season - 16 · 31 July 2026, 19:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom

Aspmyra Stadion

The model makes it 68% Bodo/Glimt, 20% draw, 12% Lillestrom — fair odds of 1.47, 5.00 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).

Expected goals: Bodo/Glimt 2.16, Lillestrom 0.81.

Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

50%
Both teams to score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-0 12%1-0 11%2-1 10%

Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom

  • 26 April 2026Lillestrom 0–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 22 March 2026Bodo/Glimt 4–0 LillestromNM Cupen
  • 1 December 2024Bodo/Glimt 5–2 LillestromEliteserien
  • 1 May 2024Bodo/Glimt 2–4 LillestromNM Cupen
  • 14 April 2024Lillestrom 0–5 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 30 October 2023Bodo/Glimt 3–1 LillestromEliteserien
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Bodo/Glimt the highest probability at 68%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.16 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt against 0.81 for Lillestrom. Bodo/Glimt's attack/defence rating is 0.9/0.92 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.27 for Lillestrom.