Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Lillestrom.
Before kick-off the model made it 66% Bodo/Glimt, 21% draw, 13% Lillestrom — fair odds of 1.52, 4.76 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bodo/Glimt at 66% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Nikita HaikinG
- 20Fredrik SjøvoldD
- 4Odin Luras BjørtuftD
- 5Haitam AleesamiD
- 15Fredrik André BjørkanD
- 8Sondre AuklendM
- 7Patrick BergM
- 19Sondre FetM
- 11Ole Didrik BlombergF
- 17Ola BrynhildsenF
- 10Jens Petter HaugeF
- 16Joshua KitolanoM
- 21Andreas HelmersenF
- 25Isak Dybvik MäättäD
- 77Mikkel Bro HansenF
- 23Magnus RiisnæsM
- 1Julian LundG
- 6Jostein GundersenD
- 2Villads NielsenD
- 32Kasper SolhaugM
- 12Pontus DahlbergG
- 2Lars RangerD
- 28Ruben GabrielsenD
- 47Stian KristiansenD
- 11Frederik ElkærD
- 29Ylldren IbrahimajM
- 26Yaw PaintsilM
- 18Kevin Martin KrygardM
- 14Gustav Kjolstad NyheimM
- 20Felix VáM
- 10Thomas Lehne OlsenF
- 8Markus KarlsbakkM
- 7Karl Linus AlperudM
- 77Fredrik GulbrandsenF
- 6Harald WoxenM
- 3Sturla OttesenD
- 1Stephan HagerupG
- 5Sander Moen FossD
- 15Gustav NordhF
- 9Kparobo ArierhiF
Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Sandefjord26 July 2026
- W3-0Ham-Kam22 July 2026
- W1-0Fredrikstad17 July 2026
Lillestrom
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Viking22 July 2026
- W2-1KFUM Oslo18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 61 | 23 | +38 | 59 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 39 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
- 26 April 2026Lillestrom 0–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 22 March 2026Bodo/Glimt 4–0 LillestromNM Cupen
- 1 December 2024Bodo/Glimt 5–2 LillestromEliteserien
- 1 May 2024Bodo/Glimt 2–4 LillestromNM Cupen
- 14 April 2024Lillestrom 0–5 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 30 October 2023Bodo/Glimt 3–1 LillestromEliteserien
Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
GoalsAssists
- A. Helmersen121
- K. Høgh74
Lillestrom
GoalsAssists
- Vá85
- F. Gulbrandsen71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bodo/Glimt beat Lillestrom 4–0. The model had made a win for Bodo/Glimt its most likely outcome, at 66%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Ole Didrik Blomberg (penalty) 17' for Bodo/Glimt, Sondre Fet 25' for Bodo/Glimt, Jens Petter Hauge 63' for Bodo/Glimt, Markus Karlsbakk (own goal) 77' for Bodo/Glimt. On expected goals it finished 2.26–0.40.