Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Valerenga 1-2 Bodo/Glimt.
Before kick-off the model made it 20% Valerenga, 21% draw, 59% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 5.00, 4.76 and 1.69.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Bodo/Glimt at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Oscar HedvallG
- 55Sebastian JarlD
- 4Aaron Kiil OlsenD
- 37Ivan NäsbergD
- 2Kolbeinn FinnssonD
- 28Magnus WestergaardM
- 29Ambina Fidèle BriceM
- 10Carl LangeM
- 77Lucas HarenM
- 7Mohamed OfkirF
- 17Mathias GrundetjernF
- 24Petter StrandM
- 9Gabriel RajkovicF
- 3Hakon SjatilD
- 90Ole Christian SaeterF
- 15Odin Thiago HolmM
- 13Sander Åke Andreas LønningG
- 5Kevin TshiembeD
- 6Vegar Eggen HedenstadD
- 19Promise MeligaF
- 12Nikita HaikinG
- 20Fredrik SjøvoldD
- 4Odin Luras BjørtuftD
- 5Haitam AleesamiD
- 25Isak Dybvik MäättäD
- 7Patrick BergM
- 8Sondre AuklendM
- 19Sondre FetM
- 17Ola BrynhildsenM
- 11Ole Didrik BlombergF
- 21Andreas HelmersenF
- 16Joshua KitolanoM
- 14Ulrik SaltnesM
- 24Daniel BassiF
- 15Fredrik André BjørkanD
- 1Julian LundG
- 6Jostein GundersenD
- 2Villads NielsenD
- 23Magnus RiisnæsM
- 77Mikkel Bro HansenF
Form going into Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Ham-Kam31 July 2026
- W3-2away to Brann26 July 2026
Bodo/Glimt
All competitions we cover
- D3-3away to Union St. Gilloise4 August 2026
- W4-0Lillestrom31 July 2026
- W3-0away to Sandefjord26 July 2026
- W3-0Ham-Kam22 July 2026
- W1-0Fredrikstad17 July 2026
What these results say
- Bodo/Glimt went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Bodo/Glimt scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Bodo/Glimt won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Valerenga | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 32 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 63 | 23 | +40 | 62 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt
- 1 November 2025Valerenga 3–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 26 July 2025Bodo/Glimt 7–2 ValerengaEliteserien
- 28 September 2023Valerenga 2–4 Bodo/GlimtNM Cupen
- 24 September 2023Bodo/Glimt 4–2 ValerengaEliteserien
- 4 June 2023Valerenga 1–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
Leading scorers: Valerenga and Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
GoalsAssists
- L. Haren112
Bodo/Glimt
GoalsAssists
- A. Helmersen132
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bodo/Glimt won 2–1 at Valerenga. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Bodo/Glimt at 59%. The goals: A. Helmersen 19' for Bodo/Glimt, H. Aleesami 76' for Bodo/Glimt, G. Rajkovic 87' for Valerenga. On expected goals it finished 1.22–1.90.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.