Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Viking 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Viking, 27% draw, 31% Sarpsborg 08 FF — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Viking at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Arild ØstbøG
- 18Sondre Flem BjørsholD
- 5Henrik HeggheimD
- 6Gianni StensnessD
- 24Vetle AuklendD
- 16Ruben AlteM
- 7Kristoffer AskildsenM
- 26Simen Kvia-EgeskogM
- 10Zlatko TripićF
- 20Peter ChristiansenF
- 17Edvin AustbøF
- 2Herman Johan HaugenD
- 15Ola VistedM
- 33Jakob Segadal HansenM
- 11Romano PostemaF
- 23Niklas Kemp FuglestadF
- 30Ľubomír BelkoG
- 3Viljar VevatneD
- 27Jesper DalandD
- 19Amin CosicF
- 87Leander ØyG
- 12Claus NiyukuriD
- 4Bjorn UtvikD
- 2Marius LodeD
- 21Anders HiimD
- 8Sander ChristiansenM
- 6Aimar SherM
- 10Sondre SörliM
- 33Andreas HansenM
- 77Olaus SkarsemM
- 11Daniel KarlsbakkF
- 22Victor Emanuel HalvorsenM
- 17Noa WilliamsM
- 32Eirik WichneD
- 7Camil MmaeeM
- 13Carljohan ErikssonG
- 20Peter ReinhardsenD
- 50Magnus Mevik EidalD
- 15Michael OpokuM
- 18Bop GuèyeM
Form going into Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Start1 August 2026
- D1-1away to Aalesund26 July 2026
- W2-1away to Lillestrom22 July 2026
- W2-1Sandefjord18 July 2026
Sarpsborg 08 FF
All competitions we cover
- D3-3away to Molde2 August 2026
- W1-0Ham-Kam26 July 2026
- D0-0away to Kristiansund BK18 July 2026
What these results say
- Viking went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Viking scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Viking won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 69 | 27 | +42 | 62 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 12 July 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 VikingEliteserien
- 1 March 2026Viking 2–0 Sarpsborg 08 FFFriendlies Clubs
- 27 September 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 3–3 VikingEliteserien
- 9 July 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 VikingNM Cupen
- 4 May 2025Viking 0–0 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
Leading scorers: Viking and Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen187
- S. Kvia-Egeskog93
- H. Heggheim73
Sarpsborg 08 FF
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Viking beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1. The model had made a win for Viking its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: H. Heggheim 40' for Viking, S. Sorli 81' for Sarpsborg 08 FF, Z. Tripic (penalty) 90+5' for Viking. On expected goals it finished 3.11–2.31.