Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Orgryte IS 3-4 AIK Stockholm.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Orgryte IS, 27% draw, 16% AIK Stockholm — fair odds of 1.75, 3.70 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Orgryte IS at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm
Line-ups
- 44Hampus GustafssonG
- 5Christoffer StyffeD
- 6Mikael DyrestamD
- 2Michael ParkerD
- 14Daniel PaulsonM
- 8Benjamin LaturnusM
- 23Owen Parker-PriceM
- 19Anton AndreassonM
- 17William HofvanderF
- 11Noah ChristofferssonF
- 22Tobias SanaF
- 16Hampus DahlqvistD
- 15Jerome Tibbling UgwoF
- 7Charlie VindehallM
- 29Marlon EbietomereD
- 34Alex RahmG
- 26Viggo SynnergrenM
- 21William KenndalM
- 20Månz KarlssonF
- 9Liam Filip AnderssonF
- 15Kristoffer NordfeldtG
- 17Mads Døhr ThychosenD
- 34Wilmer OlofssonD
- 3Herve MatthysD
- 5Lukas BergquistD
- 7Amel MujanićM
- 19Dino BeširovićM
- 18Abdihakin AliM
- 9Linus CarlstrandF
- 29Kevin FillingF
- 11Victor AnderssonF
- 22Adrian HelmF
- 46Yannick GeigerM
- 16Sixten GustafssonF
- 28Linus JäretegM
- 43Nikolaj StaykovF
- 30Kalle JoelssonG
- 42Oskar PukelisD
- 47Ladji CamaraD
- 41Mohammed ShillaM
Form going into Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm
Orgryte IS
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to AIK Stockholm2 August 2026
- L0-2away to Vasteras SK FK24 July 2026
- D0-0Djurgardens IF20 July 2026
AIK Stockholm
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Orgryte IS2 August 2026
- D0-0away to BK Hacken27 July 2026
- W2-0Gais18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 20 |
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm
- 2 August 2026AIK Stockholm 0–3 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan
- 19 February 2022AIK Stockholm 2–0 Orgryte ISSvenska Cupen
- 1 March 2020Orgryte IS 0–1 AIK StockholmSvenska Cupen
Leading scorers: Orgryte IS and AIK Stockholm
Orgryte IS
GoalsAssists
- N. Christoffersson81
AIK Stockholm
GoalsAssists
- J. Hove113
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
AIK Stockholm won 4–3 at Orgryte IS. The model had leaned towards a win for Orgryte IS at 57% and given a win for AIK Stockholm 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: N. Christoffersson 13' for Orgryte IS, L. Carlstrand 30' for AIK Stockholm, A. Andreasson 32' for Orgryte IS, S. Gustafsson 74' for AIK Stockholm, L. Carlstrand 85' for AIK Stockholm, Y. Geiger 87' for AIK Stockholm, J. Tibbling 90+7' for Orgryte IS. Sent off: D. Paulson (Orgryte IS) 78'.