Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Sandefjord 0-1 KFUM Oslo.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Sandefjord, 23% draw, 34% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 2.33, 4.35 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sandefjord at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30E. HadayaG
- 4F. PedersenD
- 13R. HoltenD
- 44X. LambrixD
- 3V. EgeliD
- 6S. MorkM
- 7E. PatoulidisM
- 14E. PettersenM
- 37J. VesterM
- 19B. BerntsenM
- 24S. MathisenF
- 1A. GronnebergG
- 27J. DunsbyF
- 18M. SauerM
- 2M. HellanD
- 32D. SkaarudF
- 21J. Swift
- 16H. KrogelienD
- 17F. ApetorgborF
- 31H. B. SkrettebergD
- 25H. JenssenG
- 13B. SkaretD
- 5F. BerglieD
- 2D. SchneiderD
- 14H. HosethM
- 27T. SorasM
- 7R. RaschM
- 16J. HjorthM
- 18R. E. VingeF
- 23M. EikremF
- 10B. NjieF
- 31D. W. MinkG
- 9M. VinjorM
- 22B. KristensenF
- 11M. NjieF
- 19E. SaunesD
- 21S. SjokvistD
- 42D. HicksonF
- 4M. NjieD
- 29I. SkovsgaardF
Form going into Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Fredrikstad1 August 2026
- L0-3Bodo/Glimt26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Viking18 July 2026
KFUM Oslo
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Kristiansund BK2 August 2026
- L2-4Molde26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Lillestrom18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sandefjord | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo
- 7 April 2026KFUM Oslo 1–2 SandefjordEliteserien
- 30 November 2025Sandefjord 2–0 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 30 March 2025KFUM Oslo 3–1 SandefjordEliteserien
- 15 March 2025Sandefjord 1–0 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
- 27 October 2024Sandefjord 2–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
Leading scorers: Sandefjord and KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
GoalsAssists
- E. Patoulidis83
KFUM Oslo
GoalsAssists
- B. Njie83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
KFUM Oslo won 1–0 at Sandefjord. The model had leaned towards a win for Sandefjord at 43% and given a win for KFUM Oslo 34%. The goal: Hakon Helland Hoseth 45+3' for KFUM Oslo. Sent off: Jakob Vester (Sandefjord) 30'. On expected goals it finished 0.93–1.74.