Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Utrecht 3-3 GO Ahead Eagles.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Utrecht, 28% draw, 27% GO Ahead Eagles — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Utrecht at 45% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles
Line-ups
- 1V. BarkasG
- 2S. HoremansD
- 3M. DiddenD
- 5N. PanagiotouD
- 11Ángel AlarcónM
- 6G. OfferhausM
- 34D. van den BergM
- 92A. ZagréM
- 20D. de WitF
- 9Artem StepanovF
- 10Y. CathlineF
- 39N. AmrabatF
- 17S. van DuijnF
- 15A. BlakeF
- 80M. BroholmF
- 31M. EppinkG
- 33K. GadellaaG
- 32P. KloosterboerD
- 18J. MedićD
- 21N. Ogidi NwankwoD
- 1K. HaugG
- 2A. SampstedD
- 26J. DirksenD
- 4J. KramerD
- 5D. JamesD
- 21M. MeulensteenM
- 8E. LinthorstM
- 10S. TengstedtM
- 16V. EdvardsenM
- 17M. SurayM
- 9S. SigurðarsonF
- 15R. WeijenbergM
- 20E. WaayersD
- 33N. VerdoniG
- 11O. SivertsenF
- 34Y. RahmouniM
- 18R. MargaretF
- 6T. JukićD
- 29E. FlatakerF
- 23T. BaetenF
Form going into Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
- L1-6PSV Eindhoven30 August 2026
- D3-3away to Sparta Rotterdam22 August 2026
- L1-4AZ Alkmaar15 August 2026
GO Ahead Eagles
- L2-5away to AZ Alkmaar29 August 2026
- W3-1ADO Den Haag23 August 2026
- D2-2away to Feyenoord16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles
- 8 September 2026Utrecht 3–3 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 22 March 2026Utrecht 2–0 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 30 November 2025GO Ahead Eagles 2–2 UtrechtEredivisie
- 6 April 2025GO Ahead Eagles 2–2 UtrechtEredivisie
- 15 December 2024Utrecht 3–3 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 26 May 2024Utrecht 1–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
Leading scorers: Utrecht and GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
- Artem Stepanov5 goals
GO Ahead Eagles
- S. Tengstedt5 goals2 assists
- V. Edvardsen3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.