Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Utrecht 3-3 GO Ahead Eagles.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Utrecht, 28% draw, 27% GO Ahead Eagles — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Utrecht at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles
Line-ups
- 1V. BarkasG
- 2S. HoremansD
- 3M. DiddenD
- 5N. PanagiotouD
- 11Ángel AlarcónM
- 6G. OfferhausM
- 34D. van den BergM
- 92A. ZagréM
- 20D. de WitF
- 9Artem StepanovF
- 10Y. CathlineF
- 39N. AmrabatF
- 17S. van DuijnF
- 15A. BlakeF
- 80M. BroholmF
- 31M. EppinkG
- 33K. GadellaaG
- 32P. KloosterboerD
- 18J. MedićD
- 21N. Ogidi NwankwoD
- 1K. HaugG
- 2A. SampstedD
- 26J. DirksenD
- 4J. KramerD
- 5D. JamesD
- 21M. MeulensteenM
- 8E. LinthorstM
- 10S. TengstedtM
- 16V. EdvardsenM
- 17M. SurayM
- 9S. SigurðarsonF
- 15R. WeijenbergM
- 20E. WaayersD
- 33N. VerdoniG
- 11O. SivertsenF
- 34Y. RahmouniM
- 18R. MargaretF
- 6T. JukićD
- 29E. FlatakerF
- 23T. BaetenF
Form going into Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
All competitions we cover
- L1-6PSV Eindhoven30 August 2026
- D3-3away to Sparta Rotterdam22 August 2026
- L1-4AZ Alkmaar15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Groningen9 August 2026
GO Ahead Eagles
All competitions we cover
- L2-5away to AZ Alkmaar29 August 2026
- W3-1ADO Den Haag23 August 2026
- D2-2away to Feyenoord16 August 2026
- W4-1Willem II8 August 2026
What these results say
- Utrecht did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Utrecht scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Utrecht conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- GO Ahead Eagles scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- GO Ahead Eagles conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for GO Ahead Eagles had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles
- 22 March 2026Utrecht 2–0 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 30 November 2025GO Ahead Eagles 2–2 UtrechtEredivisie
- 6 April 2025GO Ahead Eagles 2–2 UtrechtEredivisie
- 15 December 2024Utrecht 3–3 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 26 May 2024Utrecht 1–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
Leading scorers: Utrecht and GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
GoalsAssists
- Artem Stepanov50
GO Ahead Eagles
GoalsAssists
- S. Tengstedt82
- S. Sigurðarson41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Utrecht and GO Ahead Eagles drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Utrecht at 45% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Mathis Suray 18' for GO Ahead Eagles, Søren Tengstedt 49' for GO Ahead Eagles, Victor Kaj Edvardsen 58' for GO Ahead Eagles, Dani De Wit 63' for Utrecht, Matisse Didden 77' for Utrecht, Artem Stepanov (penalty) 90' for Utrecht.