9 September 2026, 16:45 UTC

Twente vs Telstar Eredivisie prediction & result

De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Twente 1-0 Telstar.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Twente, 28% draw, 26% Telstar — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Twente at 46% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Twente97%Draw3%Telstar0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Younes Taha El Idrissi
23'
46'
Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson
55'
Marvin Peersman
61'
🔁Tyrone Owusuout: Noach Shenkman
61'
🔁Nökkvi Þeyr Þórissonout: Jelani Seedorf
62'
🔁Gerald Aldersout: Rojendro Oudsten
🔁Daan Rotsout: Filip Erik Thorvaldsen
62'
62'
Sem valk
⚽Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeterassist: Younes Taha El Idrissi
65'
🔁Younes Taha El Idrissiout: Robin Propper
73'
🔁Aske Emil Berg Adelgaardout: Thomas Van den Belt
73'
74'
🔁Jeff Hardeveldout: Harrie Kuster
🔁Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeterout: Marko Pjaca
79'
⚽Wout Weghorst (pen)
81'
82'
🔁Rui Mendesout: Ar'jany Martha

Match stats — Twente vs Telstar

63%Possession37%
22Shots3
8On target2
9Corners2

Line-ups

Twente 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. UnnerstallG
  • 28B. van RooijD
  • 38M. BrunsD
  • 4R. NijstadD
  • 29A. AdelgaardD
  • 6R. ZerroukiM
  • 8D. WeidmannM
  • 11D. RotsM
  • 10Y. TahaM
  • 27S. ØrjasæterM
  • 9W. WeghorstF
Substitutes
  • 18Jordy BawuahM
  • 22R. PasveerG
  • 3R. PröpperD
  • 2M. RosiakD
  • 17F. ThorvaldsenF
  • 25Lucas Vennegoor of HesselinkF
  • 20T. van den BeltM
  • 37N. ÜnüvarF
  • 24K. KurowskiD
Coach: J. van den Brom
Telstar 3-4-2-1
  • 1R. KoemanG
  • 16S. ValkD
  • 4A. SoualhiaD
  • 43M. PeersmanD
  • 3Gerald AldersM
  • 17N. RossenM
  • 10T. OwusuM
  • 2J. HardeveldM
  • 7Rui MendesM
  • 27P. BrouwerM
  • 11N. ÞórissonF
Substitutes
  • 8E. DemircanF
  • 14H. KusterM
  • 42A. MarthaD
  • 13Finn MulderG
  • 15N. NwankwoD
  • 28R. OudstenD
  • 20D. ReizigerG
  • 9Jelani SeedorfF
  • 23N. ShenkmanM
Coach: H. Brugge

Form going into Twente vs Telstar

Twente

  • D2-2away to Groningen6 September 2026

Telstar

  • D2-2Cambuur6 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Twente8521168+817
15Telstar8134714-76

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Twente vs Telstar

  • 9 September 2026Twente 1–0 TelstarEredivisie
  • 15 February 2026Telstar 1–1 TwenteEredivisie
  • 7 November 2025Twente 0–0 TelstarEredivisie
  • 10 January 2023Twente 3–1 TelstarKNVB Beker
  • 12 April 2019Twente 1–0 TelstarEerste Divisie
  • 21 September 2018Telstar 1–3 TwenteEerste Divisie

The full Twente vs Telstar record →

Leading scorers: Twente and Telstar

Twente

GoalsAssists

  • W. Weghorst42

Telstar

No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.