Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd Championship prediction & result
Final score: Blackburn 1-2 Sheffield Utd.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Blackburn, 28% draw, 29% Sheffield Utd — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Blackburn at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd
Line-ups
- 1A. PearsG
- 2R. AlebiosuD
- 6Tom AtchesonD
- 15S. McLoughlinD
- 4Yuri RibeiroD
- 31Kristi MontgomeryM
- 8Sam MorsyM
- 25R. MorishitaM
- 10T. CantwellM
- 21O. AfolayanM
- 11J. FevrierF
- 3H. PickeringD
- 30J. GarrettM
- 28A. ForshawM
- 17H. CarterD
- 27Gady BeyukuD
- 22B. TóthG
- 53F. VareM
- 42Harry ListerM
- 45Harvey HigginsM
- 1M. CooperG
- 8H. ChoudhuryD
- 5J. TangangaD
- 15L. KitchingD
- 30R. Norrington-DaviesD
- 11R. DonovanM
- 42Sydie PeckM
- 7J. RothwellM
- 3S. McCallumM
- 9T. CannonF
- 22B. BreretonF
- 44J. RiedewaldM
- 4O. ArblasterM
- 10J. AyewF
- 45P. BamfordF
- 33J. BaptisteM
- 23T. CampbellF
- 17A. DaviesG
- 2M. DohertyD
- 27K. PhillipsM
Form going into Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd
Blackburn
- L1-2away to Preston5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Lincoln1 September 2026
- L1-2QPR29 August 2026
- W2-1Middlesbrough22 August 2026
- D2-2away to Wolves14 August 2026
Sheffield Utd
- L1-3Norwich5 September 2026
What these results say
- Blackburn failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Blackburn scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Blackburn conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 15 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd
- 8 September 2026Blackburn 1–2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- 25 August 2026Blackburn 1–2 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
- 22 April 2026Sheffield Utd 1–3 BlackburnChampionship
- 21 October 2025Blackburn 1–3 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- 3 May 2025Sheffield Utd 1–1 BlackburnChampionship
- 2 November 2024Blackburn 0–2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
Leading scorers: Blackburn and Sheffield Utd
Blackburn
GoalsAssists
- O. Afolayan42
- A. Guðjohnsen41
Sheffield Utd
GoalsAssists
- P. Bamford41
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.