6 September 2026, 14:45 UTC

ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie prediction & result

WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Full time2 – 3

Final score: ADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna Sittard.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% ADO Den Haag, 29% draw, 32% Fortuna Sittard — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts ADO Den Haag at 39% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

ADO Den Haag0%Draw1%Fortuna Sittard99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
Shiloh 't Zand
29'
⚽Mohammed Ihattaren
34'
⚽Lequincio Zeefuikassist: Mohammed Ihattaren
🔁Daryl van Mieghemout: Jalen Hawkins
45'
🔁Sekou Syllaout: Jonas Jensen-Abbew
45'
🔁Mylian Jimenezout: Jesse Bal
53'
58'
Jasper Dahlhaus
⚽Yannick Fereira Eduardoassist: Evan Rottier
59'
62'
⚽Mohammed Ihattaren
🔁Yannick Fereira Eduardoout: Luka Reischl
64'
64'
🔁Anthony Descotteout: Yassin Oukili
🔁Nigel Thomasout: Illaijh de Ruijter
72'
74'
🔁Mohammed Ihattarenout: Syb Van Ottele
83'
🔁Yassin Oukiliout: Nick de Groot
⚽Jesse Balassist: Juho Kilo
90+1'
90+2'
Justin Hubner
90+5'
Philip Brittijn

Match stats — ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard

58%Possession42%
11Shots8
3On target5
2Corners0

Line-ups

ADO Den Haag 4-2-3-1
  • 1K. NikiémaG
  • 2O. RaterinkD
  • 3P. MulderD
  • 15M. HokkeD
  • 18S. SyllaD
  • 25J. KiloM
  • 14M. JiménezM
  • 7D. van MieghemM
  • 11E. RottierM
  • 27N. ThomasM
  • 46Y. EduardoF
Substitutes
  • 19L. ReischlF
  • 23N. ThiedeG
  • 4M. WaemD
  • 22L. WilhelmD
  • 8J. ŽambůrekM
  • 20Caleb KramerG
  • 9J. BalF
  • 35S. BergtopD
  • 16F. de BruinM
Coach: R. Peter
Fortuna Sittard 5-3-2
  • 31M. BranderhorstG
  • 12Ivo PintoD
  • 23P. BrittijnD
  • 3Rodrigo GuthD
  • 28Justin Quincy HubnerD
  • 8J. DahlhausD
  • 52M. IhattarenM
  • 20É. MichutM
  • 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t ZandM
  • 9A. DescotteF
  • 25L. ZeefuikF
Substitutes
  • 39Ganni BuyukhanM
  • 38Moussa GbemouM
  • 1L. KoopmansG
  • 5Y. OukiliM
  • 33K. ReitmaierG
  • 44David StockbrinkF
  • 15N. de GrootD
  • 35K. van BurgstedenM
  • 6S. van OtteleD
Coach: D. Buijs

Form going into ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard

ADO Den Haag

  • D2-2away to Feyenoord30 August 2026

Fortuna Sittard

  • W3-2away to Groningen28 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17ADO Den Haag8035919-103
7Fortuna Sittard84221415-114

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard

  • 6 September 2026ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
  • 25 April 2021ADO Den Haag 0–3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
  • 20 February 2021Fortuna Sittard 2–0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
  • 9 November 2019Fortuna Sittard 1–0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
  • 31 October 2019Fortuna Sittard 3–0 ADO Den HaagKNVB Beker

The full ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard record →

Leading scorers: ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard

ADO Den Haag

No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Fortuna Sittard

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ihattaren33

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.