8 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

Ilves vs FF Jaro Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Ilves 2-0 FF Jaro.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Ilves, 26% draw, 18% FF Jaro — fair odds of 1.79, 3.85 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ilves at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ilves99%Draw1%FF Jaro0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
Adam Vidjeskog
17'
Jim Myrevik
🔁Oskari Multalaout: Yiandro Raap
55'
68'
🔁Linus Zetterstromout: Mats Pedersen
68'
🔁Adam Vidjeskogout: Oliver Isak Kass Kawo
🔁Lauri Ala-Myllymäkiout: Yacouba Sacko
68'
🔁Jesse Kiloout: Stanislav Baranov
68'
⚽Teemu Hytönenassist: Maksim Stjopin
74'
77'
Oliver Isak Kass Kawo
77'
🔁Joas Vikstromout: Ville Vuorinen
🔁Maksim Stjopinout: Tatu Miettunen
83'
🔁Teemu Hytönenout: Elias Tamminen
83'
⚽Elias Tamminen
84'
88'
🔁Aron Bjonbackout: Valde Löfs

Match stats — Ilves vs FF Jaro

54%Possession46%
16Shots11
6On target2
5Corners3

Line-ups

Ilves 4-1-4-1
  • 12F. KrkalićG
  • 13K. WalliusD
  • 24V. KumpuD
  • 5S. VäisänenD
  • 3M. RaleD
  • 14A. PopovitchM
  • 8M. StjopinM
  • 15L. Ala-MyllymäkiM
  • 22O. MultalaM
  • 28J. KiloM
  • 9T. HytönenF
Substitutes
  • 45E. TamminenF
  • 19Goudouss BambaD
  • 17S. BaranovF
  • 11H. CoulibalyF
  • 31R. LeislahtiG
  • 16T. MiettunenD
  • 6Y. RaapM
  • 33Y. SackoM
  • 25S. SuvanneD
Coach: Camilo Speranza
FF Jaro 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. VitsG
  • 21J. MyrevikD
  • 25G. KocsisD
  • 4M. OgungbaroD
  • 19F. Østigård NessD
  • 16A. VidjeskogM
  • 7J. SkauM
  • 5A. BjonbäckM
  • 27J. VikstromM
  • 77A. SabriyeM
  • 9L. ZetterströmF
Substitutes
  • 20T. SoderstromD
  • 91V. VuorinenM
  • 12Joas SnellmanG
  • 26M. PedersenM
  • 24V. LofsM
  • 2F. KassD
  • 8Oliver Kass KawoM
  • 18E. HolmängF
Coach: Jens Karlsson

Form going into Ilves vs FF Jaro

Ilves

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2HJK Helsinki31 August 2026
  • L0-1VPS22 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Gnistan17 August 2026
  • D1-1HNK Rijeka13 August 2026
  • W2-0Mariehamn9 August 2026

FF Jaro

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Mariehamn31 August 2026
  • L0-1AC Oulu22 August 2026
  • L0-3away to HJK Helsinki16 August 2026
  • L1-3VPS8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Ilves failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Ilves scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Ilves conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FF Jaro did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • FF Jaro conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • FF Jaro failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Ilves vs FF Jaro

  • 4 July 2026FF Jaro 2–1 IlvesFinnish Premier League
  • 17 June 2026Ilves 5–0 FF JaroFinnish Premier League
  • 31 January 2026Ilves 4–2 FF JaroLeague Cup
  • 20 July 2025FF Jaro 0–1 IlvesFinnish Premier League
  • 12 April 2025Ilves 2–1 FF JaroFinnish Premier League

Leading scorers: Ilves and FF Jaro

Ilves

GoalsAssists

  • T. Hytönen91
  • J. Kanga43
  • E. Tamminen42

FF Jaro

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ilves beat FF Jaro 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ilves at 56%. The goals: Teemu Hytönen 74' for Ilves, Elias Tamminen 84' for Ilves.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.