15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte Waregem.

Before kick-off the model made it 69% Union St. Gilloise, 17% draw, 14% Zulte Waregem — fair odds of 1.45, 5.88 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Union St. Gilloise at 69%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Union St. Gilloise7%Draw90%Zulte Waregem3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

K. Mac Allister
30'
🔁B. Zeneliout: R. Mofokeng
62'
🔁R. Floruczout: M. Biondic
63'
F. Leysen
68'
71'
🔁T. Hedlout: I. Atrok
71'
🔁S. Ujkaout: N. Mituljikic
71'
🔁W. Paugainout: F. Tangala
🔁R. Schoofsout: A. Zorgane
71'
🔁L. Patrisout: O. Niang
71'
84'
🔁M. Akeout: T. Panduro
90+1'
🔁A. Ementaout: K. Vemba
90+4'
M. Beale
90+4'
M. Beale

Match stats — Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem

68%Possession32%
9Shots11
3On target4
9Corners3
0.89xG0.98

Goals against chances

Union St. Gilloise0 from 0.89 xGless than the chances were worth
Zulte Waregem0 from 0.98 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Union St. Gilloise
  • 70H. Koffi
  • 5K. Mac Allister
  • 55N. Havenaar
  • 48F. Leysen
  • 27L. Patris
  • 6K. Van De Perre
  • 17R. Schoofs
  • 11Guilherme Smith
  • 30R. Florucz
  • 23B. Zeneli
  • 7M. Fuseini
Substitutes
  • 1V. Chambaere
  • 80O. Kricfalusi
  • 29M. Sylla
  • 8A. Zorgane
  • 14I. Pavlic
  • 28D. Olaru
  • 22O. Niang
  • 9M. Biondic
  • 38R. Mofokeng
Coach: David Hubert
Zulte Waregem
  • 1L. Bostyn
  • 12W. Paugain
  • 4L. Lemoine
  • 5J. Kiilerich
  • 55Y. Cappelle
  • 8T. Claes
  • 6E. Lofolomo
  • 36S. Ujka
  • 20T. Hedl
  • 18A. Ementa
  • 11M. Ake
Substitutes
  • 42A. Dobbels
  • 3A. Tanghe
  • 49F. Tangala
  • 2K. Seven
  • 25T. Panduro
  • 7N. Mituljikic
  • 21I. Atrok
  • 90H. Akpa-Chukwu
  • 53K. Vemba
Coach: Michael Beale

Form going into Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem

Union St. Gilloise

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to Bodo/Glimt11 August 2026
  • W5-1away to KVC Westerlo8 August 2026
  • D3-3Bodo/Glimt4 August 2026

Zulte Waregem

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Genk9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920307+2329
14Zulte Waregem113261320-711

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem

  • 20 December 2025Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 3 December 2025Union St. Gilloise 2–1 Zulte WaregemCup
  • 1 November 2025Zulte Waregem 1–4 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • 5 February 2023Union St. Gilloise 4–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 4 September 2022Zulte Waregem 1–3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Union St. Gilloise and Zulte Waregem

Union St. Gilloise

GoalsAssists

  • R. Florucz50
  • R. Mofokeng42

Zulte Waregem

GoalsAssists

  • T. Hedl42
  • Á. Zalán40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Union St. Gilloise and Zulte Waregem drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Union St. Gilloise at 69% and given a draw 17%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. Sent off: M. Beale (Zulte Waregem) 90+4'. On expected goals it finished 0.89–0.98.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.