15 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Genk vs KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Cegeka Arena, Genk
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Genk 3-2 KVC Westerlo.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Genk, 23% draw, 20% KVC Westerlo — fair odds of 1.75, 4.35 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Genk at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽D. Ouregaassist: C. Congreve
R. Durosinmi
8'
13'
⚽M. Smets (OG)
J. Erenbjerg
36'
⚽R. Durosinmi (pen)
41'
⚽B. Heynenassist: A. Yokoyama
43'
61'
C. Congreve
66'
🔁C. Congreveout: R. Laalaoui
66'
🔁N. Bassetteout: D. Jochem
🔁R. Durosinmiout: A. Bibout
70'
71'
🔁L. Mbamba-Muandaout: L. Flo
74'
R. Laalaoui
🔁J. Erenbjergout: K. Haroun
75'
🔁I. Bangouraout: D. Heymans
76'
77'
D. Jochem
⚽A. Bibout
79'
🔁B. Heynenout: N. Sattlberger
83'
85'
🔁R. Munzout: A. Lapage
85'
🔁I. Fofanaout: Yang Min-Hyuk
K. Haroun
87'

Match stats — Genk vs KVC Westerlo

51%Possession49%
22Shots12
7On target2
8Corners4
4.24xG0.85

Goals against chances

Genk3 from 4.24 xGless than the chances were worth
KVC Westerlo2 from 0.85 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Genk
  • 28L. Brughmans
  • 77Z. El Ouahdi
  • 6M. Smets
  • 44J. Kongolo
  • 18J. Kayembe
  • 21I. Bangoura
  • 8B. Heynen
  • 10J. Ito
  • 11J. Erenbjerg
  • 30A. Yokoyama
  • 17R. Durosinmi
Substitutes
  • 26T. Lawal
  • 19Y. Medina
  • 84E. Sarfo
  • 38D. Heymans
  • 24N. Sattlberger
  • 86K. Haroun
  • 29R. Mirisola
  • 32N. Adedeji-Sternberg
  • 23A. Bibout
Coach: Jess Thorup
KVC Westerlo
  • 99A. Jungdal
  • 23L. Mbamba-Muanda
  • 5S. Kimura
  • 6R. Munz
  • 28D. Ourega
  • 20C. Congreve
  • 14C. Sandra
  • 45I. Fofana
  • 7S. Saito
  • 9N. Bassette
  • 13I. Sakamoto
Substitutes
  • 1B. Lathouwers
  • 2L. Flo
  • 24M. Ndembi
  • 4A. Lapage
  • 39T. Van den Keybus
  • 12R. Laalaoui
  • 17D. Jochem
  • 10A. Patrao
  • 47Yang Min-Hyuk
Coach: Issame Charai

Form going into Genk vs KVC Westerlo

Genk

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Zulte Waregem9 August 2026

KVC Westerlo

All competitions we cover

  • L1-5Union St. Gilloise8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Genk114341815+315
9KVC Westerlo114252630-414

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Genk vs KVC Westerlo

  • 10 May 2026Genk 3–0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • 18 April 2026KVC Westerlo 1–2 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • 14 December 2025Genk 1–1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • 2 November 2025KVC Westerlo 0–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • 25 January 2025KVC Westerlo 1–2 GenkJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Genk and KVC Westerlo

Genk

GoalsAssists

  • R. Durosinmi60

KVC Westerlo

GoalsAssists

  • N. Bassette80
  • S. Saito51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Genk beat KVC Westerlo 3–2. The model had made a win for Genk its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: D. Ourega 6' for KVC Westerlo, M. Smets (own goal) 13' for KVC Westerlo, R. Durosinmi (penalty) 41' for Genk, B. Heynen 43' for Genk, A. Bibout 79' for Genk. On expected goals it finished 4.24–0.85.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.