Kortrijk
vs
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League prediction
The model makes it 28% Kortrijk, 23% draw, 49% Antwerp — fair odds of 3.57, 4.35 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Kortrijk 1.38, Antwerp 1.91.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Kortrijk
- L0-3away to Club Brugge KV7 August 2026
Antwerp
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kortrijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Where they stand. Antwerp has not started the league season yet. Full tables
Head-to-head: Kortrijk vs Antwerp
- 15 February 2025Antwerp 2–1 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
- 4 December 2024Kortrijk 0–0 AntwerpCup
- 9 November 2024Kortrijk 1–2 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 9 March 2024Kortrijk 0–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 11 August 2023Antwerp 6–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
- 16 April 2023Antwerp 1–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
The two sides
Kortrijk carry a model rating of 6.59 against 6.9 for Antwerp. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Kortrijk L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.38 goals for Kortrijk and 1.91 for Antwerp. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Kortrijk rate 0.74 in attack and 1.25 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Antwerp rate 1.09 and 0.99.
That points to 64% for over two and a half goals and 64% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Antwerp the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Kortrijk against 1.91 for Antwerp. Kortrijk's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.25 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.09/0.99 for Antwerp.