Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnik Surdulica 2-1 Macva.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Radnik Surdulica, 26% draw, 23% Macva — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Radnik Surdulica at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radnik Surdulica vs Macva
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99S. Randjelovic
- 66M. GasicD
- 37S. Abubakar
- 6D. Stojanovic
- 2T. SonhaD
- 5M. PopovicM
- 28A. PejovicM
- 47E. QuarshieM
- 30M. NovakovicM
- 20L. JovanovicM
- 9V. BogdanovicF
- 23L. RadojicicG
- 22U. LazicD
- 45Rafael PonteloD
- 21U. FilipovicD
- 3L. ZoricD
- 7D. StojanovicM
- 25T. LakicF
- 11T. KljunF
- 44A. MilicevicF
- 12K. RakonicG
- 4V. IlicD
- 19I. RistivojevicD
- 15S. SladojevicD
- 17N. LainovicD
- 22K. Tojcic
- 5D. TerzicM
- 11V. RakicM
- 30D. DjordjicM
- 27L. PejovicM
- 9M. VidakovF
- 89V. JovanovicG
- 88M. SavicG
- 33U. BlagojevicD
- 44N. StevanovicD
- 35I. KoneD
- 8B. VrastanovicM
- 21D. KaranovicM
- 10M. ErgelasF
- 99N. DelibasicF
Form going into Radnik Surdulica vs Macva
Radnik Surdulica
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Vojvodina9 August 2026
Macva
All competitions we cover
- W1-0IMT Novi Beograd9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Radnik Surdulica | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 | Macva | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnik Surdulica vs Macva
- 28 April 2025Radnik Surdulica 4–0 MacvaPrva Liga
- 8 December 2024Radnik Surdulica 1–0 MacvaPrva Liga
- 25 August 2024Macva 1–0 Radnik SurdulicaPrva Liga
- 29 April 2021Macva 0–5 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 20 November 2020Radnik Surdulica 3–0 MacvaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnik Surdulica and Macva
Radnik Surdulica
GoalsAssists
- V. Bogdanović61
- M. Novaković33
Macva
GoalsAssists
- M. Vidakov40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Radnik Surdulica beat Macva 2–1. The model had made a win for Radnik Surdulica its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Pejovic 25' for Radnik Surdulica, E. Quarshie 48' for Radnik Surdulica, L. Pejovic 79' for Macva. On expected goals it finished 0.76–0.51.