Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Cercle Brugge 3-3 St. Truiden.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Cercle Brugge, 24% draw, 33% St. Truiden — fair odds of 2.33, 4.17 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Cercle Brugge at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1G. CouckeG
- 5E. KakouD
- 66C. RavychD
- 24G. KondoD
- 15G. MagneeM
- 42L. MondeleM
- 19I. DiabyM
- 12K. ValyM
- 13D. VanzeirF
- 71V. MartensF
- 9S. NgouraF
- 84B. LangenbickG
- 2I. DiakiteD
- 75S. GheerardynsD
- 33R. CaicedoD
- 10L. AmaniM
- 8Erick NunesM
- 23H. JuradoF
- 41K. KouassiF
- 22L. MichalF
- 16L. KokuboG
- 3T. HataD
- 4L. Mbe SohD
- 26V. MusliuD
- 23J. PupeD
- 18N. IshiwatariM
- 8A. SissakoM
- 60R. VanwesemaelM
- 14R. MerlenM
- 10I. SebaouiM
- 19F. Soelle
- 21M. LendfersG
- 33A. DirikenM
- 5S. TaniguchiD
- 71R. ArakiM
- 38K. MatsuzawaF
- 31I. BenachourM
- 22W. JanssensD
- 99S. ShinkawaM
- 77O. Diouf
Form going into Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Standard Liege8 August 2026
St. Truiden
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Lommel United8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden
- 8 March 2026St. Truiden 2–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 29 August 2025Cercle Brugge 1–1 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 26 April 2025Cercle Brugge 3–1 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 12 April 2025St. Truiden 3–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 27 December 2024St. Truiden 1–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Cercle Brugge and St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
St. Truiden
GoalsAssists
- S. Baždar50
- I. Sebaoui43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cercle Brugge and St. Truiden drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Cercle Brugge at 43% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: R. Merlen 1' for St. Truiden, S. Ngoura 28' for Cercle Brugge, R. Merlen 37' for St. Truiden, N. Ishiwatari 47' for St. Truiden, Erick Nunes 82' for Cercle Brugge, L. Mbe Soh (own goal) 90' for Cercle Brugge. On expected goals it finished 4.15–2.04.