Rangers vs St Mirren Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Rangers 1-0 St Mirren.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Rangers, 28% draw, 31% St Mirren — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rangers at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rangers vs St Mirren
Line-ups
- 1I. PandurG
- 21D. SterlingD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 43N. RaskinM
- 6D. NeilM
- 26B. BouananiM
- 20R. NaderiM
- 23D. GassamaM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 52Findlay CurtisF
- 14C. DevlinM
- 22V. DragojevićM
- 4B. GodfreyD
- 31L. KellyG
- 10Minsu KimF
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 28B. MiovskiF
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 47C. RamsayD
- 6Louis JacksonD
- 13A. GogićD
- 53Henry FieldsonD
- 3D. JohnD
- 23C. MochrieM
- 8R. CarrM
- 30F. TaylorM
- 19Ismeal KabiaM
- 25N. AgrafiotisF
- 37C. McEvoyM
- 31R. MullenG
- 2J. RichardsonD
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 16L. ThomasM
- 26M. De BarrosD
- 24J. FarquharF
- 20J. YoungF
- 5R. KingD
Form going into Rangers vs St Mirren
Rangers
- W1-0Motherwell5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Falkirk2 September 2026
- W1-0away to Aberdeen30 August 2026
- L1-2Hibernian9 August 2026
St Mirren
- L1-2Celtic5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Kilmarnock2 September 2026
- D3-3Motherwell30 August 2026
- W1-0St Johnstone8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rangers vs St Mirren
- 9 September 2026Rangers 1–0 St MirrenPremiership
- 16 August 2026Rangers 5–1 St MirrenLeague Cup
- 15 March 2026St Mirren 0–1 RangersPremiership
- 30 December 2025Rangers 2–1 St MirrenPremiership
- 24 August 2025St Mirren 1–1 RangersPremiership
- 26 April 2025St Mirren 2–2 RangersPremiership
Leading scorers: Rangers and St Mirren
Rangers
- L. Shankland3 goals
- R. Naderi1 goals1 assists
St Mirren
- K. Phillips3 goals
- Samu1 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.