Rangers vs St Mirren Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Rangers 1-0 St Mirren.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Rangers, 28% draw, 31% St Mirren — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rangers at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rangers vs St Mirren
Line-ups
- 1I. PandurG
- 21D. SterlingD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 43N. RaskinM
- 6D. NeilM
- 26B. BouananiM
- 20R. NaderiM
- 23D. GassamaM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 52Findlay CurtisF
- 14C. DevlinM
- 22V. DragojevićM
- 4B. GodfreyD
- 31L. KellyG
- 10Minsu KimF
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 28B. MiovskiF
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 47C. RamsayD
- 6Louis JacksonD
- 13A. GogićD
- 53Henry FieldsonD
- 3D. JohnD
- 23C. MochrieM
- 8R. CarrM
- 30F. TaylorM
- 19Ismeal KabiaM
- 25N. AgrafiotisF
- 37C. McEvoyM
- 31R. MullenG
- 2J. RichardsonD
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 16L. ThomasM
- 26M. De BarrosD
- 24J. FarquharF
- 20J. YoungF
- 5R. KingD
Form going into Rangers vs St Mirren
Rangers
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Motherwell5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Falkirk2 September 2026
- W1-0away to Aberdeen30 August 2026
- L0-1away to FK Jablonec27 August 2026
- W1-0FK Jablonec20 August 2026
St Mirren
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Celtic5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Kilmarnock2 September 2026
- D3-3Motherwell30 August 2026
- W1-0St Johnstone8 August 2026
- W2-0away to Falkirk1 August 2026
What these results say
- Rangers won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Rangers scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rangers had two goals or fewer.
- St Mirren scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rangers vs St Mirren
- 16 August 2026Rangers 5–1 St MirrenLeague Cup
- 15 March 2026St Mirren 0–1 RangersPremiership
- 30 December 2025Rangers 2–1 St MirrenPremiership
- 24 August 2025St Mirren 1–1 RangersPremiership
- 26 April 2025St Mirren 2–2 RangersPremiership
Leading scorers: Rangers and St Mirren
Rangers
GoalsAssists
- R. Naderi53
- K. Kelsy40
St Mirren
GoalsAssists
- K. Phillips32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rangers beat St Mirren 1–0. The model had made a win for Rangers its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Bojan Miovski 90+1' for Rangers.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.