Spaeri vs Rustavi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Spaeri 1-1 Rustavi.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Spaeri, 30% draw, 38% Rustavi — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rustavi at 38% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Spaeri vs Rustavi
Spaeri
- D2-2away to Meshakhte5 September 2026
- L0-3away to Dinamo Batumi30 August 2026
- L3-4Samgurali22 August 2026
Rustavi
- L0-1Dinamo Batumi4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Samgurali30 August 2026
- W3-0Gagra22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spaeri | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 25 |
| 1 | Rustavi | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 21 | +11 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table