13 September 2026, 15:30 UTC

TS Galaxy vs Kruger United Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Mbombela Stadium, Mbombela
Full time0 – 1

Final score: TS Galaxy 0-1 Kruger United.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% TS Galaxy, 28% draw, 27% Kruger United — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts TS Galaxy at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

TS Galaxy0%Draw4%Kruger United96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁S. Georgeout: M. W. Maoke
39'
Ntandoyenkosi Nkosi
41'
46'
🔁A. Mphotheout: M. Matima
46'
🔁W. Makhubuout: L. Kapinga
46'
🔁T. Ndlelaout: K. Ndlovu
Veluyeke Zulu
50'
🔁M. Mvelaseout: E. Khumalo
53'
Victor Letsoalo
54'
Lennol Mathebula
55'
65'
🔁K. Mngonyamaout: N. Makhubela
73'
⚽K. Ndlovuassist: M. Zwane
🔁N. Nkosiout: M. Mbunjana
77'
🔁C. Mdevulanaout: T. Kakora
77'
🔁A. Williamsout: J. Zindoga
77'
83'
Ebrahim Seedat
86'
🔁M. Zwaneout: S. Mahlangu
90'
Motsie Matima

Match stats — TS Galaxy vs Kruger United

47%Possession53%
11Shots15
4On target6
3Corners3
0.68xG1.23

Goals against chances

TS Galaxy0 from 0.68 xGless than the chances were worth
Kruger United1 from 1.23 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

TS Galaxy
  • 16E. I. TapeG
  • 24L. MathebulaD
  • 45V. ZuluD
  • 33S. NgobeniD
  • 22L. MotaungM
  • 6N. NkosiM
  • 36C. MdevulanaM
  • 11A. WilliamsM
  • 2M. MvelaseF
  • 19S. GeorgeF
  • 17V. LetsoaloF
Substitutes
  • 1M. NkosingabeleG
  • 28E. KhumaloM
  • 25K. MhlongoM
  • 8M. MbunjanaM
  • 14T. KakoraM
  • 10S. TatiM
  • 21J. ZindogaF
  • 20A. JakalasheF
  • 18M. W. MaokeM
Kruger United 4-3-1-2
  • 16M. DandjinouG
  • 12B. MalatjieD
  • 5T. Ndlela
  • 26K. MohammeD
  • 13E. SeedatD
  • 45K. MngonyamaM
  • 4S. SibiyaM
  • 44T. TavengwaM
  • 9W. MakhubuM
  • 7M. ZwaneF
  • 50A. MphotheF
Substitutes
  • 1F. NtwariG
  • 27A. TiwaniD
  • 35M. MatimaM
  • 10N. MakhubelaF
  • 55A. KonqobeD
  • 20C. NgemaM
  • 38S. MahlanguM
  • 74L. KapingaM
  • 22K. NdlovuM
Coach: Abraham Mongoya

Form going into TS Galaxy vs Kruger United

TS Galaxy

Premier Soccer League

  • D0-0away to Sekhukhune United5 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Marumo Gallants25 August 2026

Kruger United

Premier Soccer League

  • L0-4Orlando Pirates1 September 2026
  • L0-2Durban City25 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13TS Galaxy8134712-56
12Kruger United8215412-87

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: TS Galaxy and Kruger United

TS Galaxy

GoalsAssists

  • V. Letsoalo40

Kruger United

No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Kruger United won 1–0 at TS Galaxy. The model had leaned towards a win for TS Galaxy at 45% and given a win for Kruger United 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: K. Ndlovu 73' for Kruger United. Sent off: Veluyeke Zulu (TS Galaxy) 50'. On expected goals it finished 0.68–1.23.

How the call on TS Galaxy v Kruger United has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 55% / 24% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is TS Galaxy's chance of winning, down 10 points.

  1. TS Galaxy win45%▼ −10
  2. Draw28%▲ +4
  3. Kruger United win27%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.