Milford FC vs Richards Bay Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Milford FC 5-1 Richards Bay.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Milford FC, 28% draw, 26% Richards Bay — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All South African Premier Soccer League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Milford FC at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Milford FC vs Richards Bay
Line-ups
- 32S. HlezaG
- 20S. SiyayaD
- 13P. NgxongoD
- 22O. CeleD
- 14S. MdluliD
- 55C. MthethwaM
- 2B. SigomosheM
- 10M. ChiliM
- 5V. MthabelaM
- 11M. ZikakayoM
- 21S. NdlabiF
- 16L. NkosiG
- 75T. MbungaM
- 18K. KhwanyaD
- 38Y. NomandelaM
- 6S. JoyiM
- 8M. MkhizeF
- 17J. GxakosheM
- 90S. MasilelaF
- 12P. JwaraM
- 32S. MtshaliG
- 22L. MabuyaD
- 5T. SikhakhaneD
- 15MthamosiD
- 25S. McinekaD
- 3S. Mntungwa
- 20M. MthembuM
- 31O. MbamboM
- 8L. ZikhaliM
- 27N. XuluF
- 19S. NzamaF
- 16N. NgcoboG
- 2S. JaliD
- 37S. GweleD
- 35T. NdeluD
- 77L. KhumaloF
- 30S. BarnsM
- 14L. MahalaF
- 26W. Ngidi
Form going into Milford FC vs Richards Bay
Milford FC
Premier Soccer League
- D0-0away to Chippa United5 September 2026
- L0-2away to Mamelodi Sundowns2 September 2026
Richards Bay
Premier Soccer League
- L1-2Amazulu4 September 2026
- D2-2Kaizer Chiefs26 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Milford FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 15 |
| 15 | Richards Bay | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Milford FC and Richards Bay
Milford FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Zikakayo30
Richards Bay
GoalsAssists
- N. Xulu50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Milford FC beat Richards Bay 5–1. The model had made a win for Milford FC its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: S. Ndlabi (penalty) 28' for Milford FC, M. Zikakayo 45' for Milford FC, M. Zikakayo 54' for Milford FC, Mthamosi 77' for Richards Bay, P. Jwara 84' for Milford FC, J. Gxakoshe 90' for Milford FC. Sent off: Lindokuhle Sphuzo Zikhali (Richards Bay) 24'.
How the call on Milford FC v Richards Bay has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 28% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 46% / 28% / 26%: the biggest move is Milford FC's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Milford FC win46%▲ +3
- Draw28%=
- Richards Bay win26%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.