Orlando Pirates vs Durban City Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Orlando Pirates 2-0 Durban City.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Orlando Pirates, 27% draw, 26% Durban City — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All South African Premier Soccer League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Orlando Pirates at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Orlando Pirates vs Durban City
Line-ups
- 24S. ChaineG
- 36K. SebelebeleD
- 6L. SeemaD
- 5N. SibisiD
- 3N. NdabaD
- 29M. MthiyaneM
- 33T. MokobodiM
- 49K. KgosietsileM
- 48S. MasilelaM
- 11T. MoremiM
- 9Y. MbuthumaF
- 12O. AppollisF
- 32S. DladlaG
- 41B. MabuzaD
- 15M. NemtajelaM
- 38Mpho PadimeF
- 31S. PedersenF
- 19N. RapooD
- 20S. SelepeM
- 37S. ZuluD
- 33F. AsareG
- 2B. ShanduD
- 4F. GcabaD
- 5S. NcananaD
- 27Siyabonga MsomiD
- 24J. MokoneD
- 17K. JurgensM
- 18B. PoggenpoelM
- 23Tylo SangerM
- 20Jean LwambaF
- 8G. SirinoF
- 3Bongani MthembuM
- 26T. NodadaM
- 10S. MasekoM
- 13Seth GreenM
- 34A. DreyerG
- 7H. DomingoM
- 28E. BrooksM
- 40Junior PapierF
- 9T. MorrisF
Form going into Orlando Pirates vs Durban City
Orlando Pirates
Premier Soccer League
- W4-0away to Kruger United1 September 2026
- W2-0Sekhukhune United25 August 2026
Durban City
Premier Soccer League
- D0-0Stellenbosch1 September 2026
- W2-0away to Kruger United25 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 10 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Orlando Pirates vs Durban City
- 8 August 2026Orlando Pirates 2–1 Durban City8 Cup
- 16 May 2026Orlando Pirates 0–0 Durban CityPremier Soccer League
- 29 November 2025Durban City 0–2 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League
Leading scorers: Orlando Pirates and Durban City
Orlando Pirates
GoalsAssists
- T. Moremi40
- B. Radiopane31
- O. Appollis23
Durban City
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Orlando Pirates beat Durban City 2–0. The model had made a win for Orlando Pirates its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Lebone Seema 57' for Orlando Pirates, Tshepang Moremi 69' for Orlando Pirates.
How the call on Orlando Pirates v Durban City has moved
First published on 2 Sep at 46% / 29% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 47% / 27% / 26%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.
- Orlando Pirates win47%▲ +1
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Durban City win26%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.