20 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

Tromso vs Ham-Kam Eliteserien prediction & result

Romssa Arena
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Tromso 3-2 Ham-Kam.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Tromso, 28% draw, 27% Ham-Kam — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Tromso at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

41'
⚽Mohamed Ofkirassist: David Benjamin
⚽Morten Bjorloassist: Alexander Warneryd
44'
45'
🔁Mohamed Ofkirout: Henrik Udahl
⚽Heine Asen Larsenassist: Ruben Jenssen
60'
60'
🔁Fredrik Sjolstadout: Halvor Rodolen Opsahl
60'
🔁David Benjaminout: Danilo Al-Saed
🔁Heine Asen Larsenout: Vegard Erlien
68'
71'
•Henrik Udahl
75'
🔁Markus Johnsgardout: Loris Mettler
77'
Snorre Strand Nilsen
🔁Morten Bjorloout: Jesper Andreas Grundt
83'
⚽Vegard Erlienassist: Ruben Jenssen
85'
87'
⚽Vetle Skjaervik (OG)
🔁Troy Engseth Nyhammerout: Nicolai Arun Jacobsen
90+3'

Match stats — Tromso vs Ham-Kam

66%Possession34%
18Shots5
11On target2
7Corners1

Line-ups

Tromso 5-3-2
  • 1J. HaugaardG
  • 37S. InnværD
  • 4V. SkjærvikD
  • 21L. HienD
  • 30I. VådebuD
  • 29A. WarnerydD
  • 70M. BjørloM
  • 11R. JenssenM
  • 7L. Olden LarsenM
  • 10T. NyhammerF
  • 22H. LarsenF
Substitutes
  • 17I. DahlqvistM
  • 15V. ErlienF
  • 33M. JattaD
  • 12O. LauvliG
  • 27M. MikkelsenM
  • 24V. OsujiD
  • 19L. Olden LarsenM
  • 18Nicolai Arun JacobsenF
  • 8J. GrundtM
Coach: J. Vik
Ham-Kam 5-3-2
  • 12M. SandbergG
  • 22S. NilsenD
  • 2M. GjoneD
  • 23F. SjølstadD
  • 3E. Amundsen-DayD
  • 5A. AndresenD
  • 8M. JohnsgårdM
  • 14L. MaresM
  • 26P. MetcalfeM
  • 28David BenjaminF
  • 11M. OfkirF
Substitutes
  • 18Duarte MoreiraF
  • 4H. OpsahlD
  • 6W. Osnes-RingenM
  • 13S. ØstraatG
  • 19H. UdahlF
  • 10L. MettlerM
  • 7V. JónssonM
  • 27João BarrosD
  • 24D. Al-SaedF
Coach: T. Myhre

Form going into Tromso vs Ham-Kam

Tromso

Eliteserien

  • L3-5away to Rosenborg12 September 2026

Ham-Kam

Eliteserien

  • L1-5Molde13 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Tromso2411764334+940
12Ham-Kam2475123351-1826

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Tromso vs Ham-Kam

  • 18 July 2026Ham-Kam 1–4 TromsoEliteserien
  • 21 September 2025Tromso 1–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 22 June 2025Ham-Kam 1–3 TromsoEliteserien
  • 22 March 2025Tromso 2–0 Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 November 2024Tromso 3–3 Ham-KamEliteserien

Leading scorers: Tromso and Ham-Kam

Tromso

GoalsAssists

  • H. Larsen104
  • J. Hjertø-Dahl72

Ham-Kam

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Tromso beat Ham-Kam 3–2. The model had made a win for Tromso its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Mohamed Ofkir 41' for Ham-Kam, Morten Bjorlo 44' for Tromso, Heine Asen Larsen 60' for Tromso, Vegard Erlien 85' for Tromso, Vetle Skjaervik (own goal) 87' for Ham-Kam.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.