Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 0-1 Jeju United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Gangwon FC, 27% draw, 22% Jeju United FC — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gangwon FC at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 97Lee You-HyeonD
- 24H. ParkD
- 71Kang Seong-yunD
- 33Hong ChulD
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonM
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 27Kim Do-HyunM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 70J. SekidikaF
- 41Y. KimG
- 5A. Mammar ChaoucheD
- 3Jeong Seung-BinD
- 29Choi Jae-hyuckD
- 57Lee Yong-JaeM
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
- 77A. HleihelF
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 1Kim Dong-JunG
- 17Yu In-SooD
- 2T. FigueiredoD
- 41Kim Jae-WooD
- 13Jeong WoonD
- 24Choi Byung-wookM
- 5ItaloM
- 20M. JangM
- 33Park Su-binM
- 94Emerson NeguebaF
- 18Kim Shin-JinF
- 81J. HeoG
- 3J. CelestineD
- 6Kwon Gi-minD
- 40Kim Ryun-sungD
- 47Park Min-jaeF
- 22E. CinariF
- 39Kim Jae-minM
- 55Kang Dong-hwiM
- 11Shin Sang-EunF
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC
Gangwon FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC13 September 2026
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors9 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC Anyang6 September 2026
- D0-0Pohang Steelers30 August 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC26 August 2026
Jeju United FC
K League 1
- D2-2away to Bucheon FC 199512 September 2026
What these results say
- Gangwon FC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Gangwon FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gangwon FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 40 | 30 | +10 | 48 |
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC
- 21 July 2026Jeju United FC 1–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 22 March 2026Gangwon FC 1–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 15 August 2025Jeju United FC 0–0 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 6 May 2025Jeju United FC 0–3 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 2 March 2025Gangwon FC 0–0 Jeju United FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Jeju United FC
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- A. Halaihal40
Jeju United FC
GoalsAssists
- Emerson Negueba42
- Lee Kun-Hee41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Jeju United FC won 1–0 at Gangwon FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Gangwon FC at 51% and given a win for Jeju United FC 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: Italo 36' for Jeju United FC.
How the call on Gangwon FC v Jeju United FC has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 31% / 30% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 51% / 27% / 22%: the biggest move is Gangwon FC's chance of winning, up 20 points.
- Gangwon FC win51%▲ +20
- Draw27%▼ −3
- Jeju United FC win22%▼ −17
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.