20 September 2026, 14:30 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs Gais Allsvenskan prediction & result

Strandvallen, Hallevik
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Mjallby AIF 0-3 Gais.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Mjallby AIF, 32% draw, 37% Gais — fair odds of 3.23, 3.13 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gais at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mjallby AIF0%Draw1%Gais99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
⚽Joackim Aberg
Abdullah Iqbal
34'
Tom Pettersson
50'
54'
⚽Nikola·Vasicassist: Dennis Collander
🔁Ian Hoffmannout: Áki Samuelsen
55'
🔁Olle Lindbergout: Jeppe Kjaer Jensen
55'
59'
⚽Nikola·Vasic
Áki Samuelsen
64'
🔁Viktor Gustafsonout: Mads Enggard
67'
69'
🔁Dennis Collanderout: Anes Cardaklija
69'
🔁Joackim Abergout: Jonas Lindberg
69'
🔁Melvin Anderssonout: Simon Jørgensen
77'
Anes Cardaklija
79'
🔁Nikola·Vasicout: Samuel Salter
🔁Jacob Bergstromout: Ludvig Tidstrand
80'
🔁William Granathout: Max Nielsen
80'
86'
🔁William Milovanovicout: Mohamed·Bawa
Mads Enggard
87'

Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs Gais

53%Possession47%
15Shots15
7On target5
5Corners0

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF 5-3-2
  • 13R. WallinderG
  • 4A. NorénD
  • 5Abdullah IqbalD
  • 24T. PetterssonD
  • 26I. HoffmannD
  • 14Villiam GranathD
  • 7V. GustafsonM
  • 22J. GustavssonM
  • 29Olle LindbergM
  • 18J. BergströmF
  • 9A. YoussefF
Substitutes
  • 39R. LeanderssonM
  • 6M. EnggårdM
  • 1S. HansenG
  • 10J. KjærM
  • 33T. MiettinenD
  • 25M. NielsenD
  • 23Á. SamuelsenF
  • 2L. SvanbergD
  • 27L. TidstrandM
Coach: A. Brännström
Gais 4-3-3
  • 1M. KrasniqiG
  • 34D. CollanderD
  • 12R. FrejD
  • 24F. BeckmanD
  • 2M. de BrienneD
  • 8W. MilovanovicM
  • 7J. ÅbergM
  • 10H. SletsjøeM
  • 16M. AnderssonF
  • 21N. VasićF
  • 11R. NiklassonF
Substitutes
  • 6A. WängbergD
  • 5R. ThomassonD
  • 20S. SalterF
  • 32O. PetterssonF
  • 25Jonas LindbergM
  • 33A. HermansenG
  • 22A. CardaklijaD
  • 27M. BawaM
  • 14S. JørgensenF
Coach: F. Holmberg

Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Gais

Mjallby AIF

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to AIK Stockholm16 September 2026
  • D1-1away to BK Hacken11 September 2026
  • L1-4IFK Goteborg7 September 2026
  • L0-2Djurgardens IF3 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Djurgardens IF31 August 2026

Gais

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Djurgardens IF14 September 2026
  • D0-0BK Hacken5 September 2026
  • W4-0IF Brommapojkarna31 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Hammarby FF23 August 2026
  • L0-1Malmo FF16 August 2026

What these results say

  • Mjallby AIF did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Mjallby AIF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Gais failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Gais failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Gais had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Mjallby AIF2668123043-1326
10Gais2697103226+634

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs Gais

  • 23 April 2026Gais 0–0 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 22 March 2026Mjallby AIF 3–0 GaisSvenska Cupen
  • 25 August 2025Gais 0–2 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 6 April 2025Mjallby AIF 1–1 GaisAllsvenskan
  • 26 October 2024Mjallby AIF 1–1 GaisAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and Gais

Mjallby AIF

GoalsAssists

  • J. Bergström100

Gais

GoalsAssists

  • N. Vasić70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gais won 3–0 at Mjallby AIF. The model had made a win for Gais its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Joackim Aberg 13' for Gais, Nikola·Vasic 54' for Gais, Nikola·Vasic 59' for Gais.

How the call on Mjallby AIF v Gais has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 31% / 32% / 37%: the biggest move is Mjallby AIF's chance of winning, down 9 points.

  1. Mjallby AIF win31%▼ −9
  2. Draw32%▲ +3
  3. Gais win37%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.