Brann
vs
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien prediction
Our model says: Brann 0–1 Bodo/Glimt
The model makes it 33% Brann, 30% draw, 37% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Brann 1.25, Bodo/Glimt 1.38.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Brann vs Bodo/Glimt
Every scoreline the model considered
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell is one exact result, shaded against the likeliest one; figures below 1% are left blank rather than rounded to zero. Blue cells are Brann wins, grey are draws, red are Bodo/Glimt wins — the three shaded areas ARE the 1/X/2 split above, which is the sum of the cells in each. The most likely scoreline is simply the darkest cell inside whichever area the model favours.
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bodo/Glimt at 37% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Brann vs Bodo/Glimt
Brann
- L0-2away to Start13 September 2026
- L1-2Lillestrom5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sandefjord30 August 2026
- W3-0Ham-Kam16 August 2026
- W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026
Bodo/Glimt
- W3-2Sandefjord14 September 2026
- W2-1away to Fredrikstad4 September 2026
- W4-2Rosenborg30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Valerenga8 August 2026
- W4-0Lillestrom31 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brann | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 31 | +6 | 26 |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 17 | +35 | 50 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Brann vs Bodo/Glimt
- 24 May 2026Bodo/Glimt 3–1 BrannEliteserien
- 9 May 2026Bodo/Glimt 2–2 BrannNM Cupen
- 29 October 2025Brann 1–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 21 June 2025Bodo/Glimt 3–0 BrannEliteserien
- 22 September 2024Brann 4–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 7 July 2024Bodo/Glimt 5–1 BrannEliteserien
Leading scorers: Brann and Bodo/Glimt
Brann
- N. Holm6 goals2 assists
Bodo/Glimt
- A. Helmersen8 goals1 assists
- K. Høgh7 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Brann carry a model rating of 6.45 against 6.65 for Bodo/Glimt. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.25 goals for Brann and 1.38 for Bodo/Glimt. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Brann rate 0.62 in attack and 1.38 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Bodo/Glimt rate 0.83 and 1.24.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Brann a 0% chance of the title and Bodo/Glimt 73.7%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bodo/Glimt the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.25 expected goals for Brann against 1.38 for Bodo/Glimt. Brann's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.38 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.83/1.24 for Bodo/Glimt.