20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Tromso vs Brighton UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Romssa Arena
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Tromso 0-0 Brighton.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% Tromso, 22% draw, 59% Brighton — fair odds of 5.26, 4.55 and 1.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Brighton at 59% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Tromso3%Draw91%Brighton6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

48'
Luka Vušković
59'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
🔁L. O. Larsenout: Ieltsin Camoes
64'
68'
🔁M. Yalcouyeout: A. Cozier-Duberry
68'
🔁D. Gomezout: C. Kostoulas
77'
🔁I. Osmanout: M. De Cuyper
78'
🔁G. Rutterout: J. Hinshelwood
🔁I. Dahlqvistout: S. Innvaer
80'
🔁H. Larsenout: J. Grundt
80'
87'
🔁F. Kadiogluout: Z. Yohanna
🔁T. Nyhammerout: D. Braut
90+1'

Match stats — Tromso vs Brighton

32%Possession68%
5Shots25
1On target6
5Corners11

Line-ups

Tromso 3-5-2
  • 1J. HaugaardG
  • 30I. VadebuD
  • 4V. SkjaervikD
  • 3M. TonnessenD
  • 17I. DahlqvistM
  • 5D. EdvardssonM
  • 11R. JenssenM
  • 7L. O. LarsenM
  • 29A. Thongla-Iad WarnerydM
  • 10T. NyhammerF
  • 22H. LarsenF
Substitutes
  • 12O. LauvliG
  • 32A. SarrG
  • 25C. OyvannD
  • 21L. HienF
  • 27M. MikkelsenM
  • 37S. InnvaerM
  • 24V. OsujiD
  • 8J. GrundtM
  • 15V. EkblomF
Coach: Jorgen Vik
Brighton 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. VerbruggenG
  • 27M. WiefferD
  • 44L. VuskovicD
  • 21O. BoscagliD
  • 24F. KadiogluD
  • 35M. YalcouyeM
  • 26Y. AyariM
  • 25D. GomezM
  • 13P. GrossM
  • 15I. OsmanM
  • 10G. RutterF
Substitutes
  • 23J. SteeleG
  • 38T. McGillG
  • 5L. DunkD
  • 30M. SvobodaD
  • 20CostinhaD
  • 4P. StruijkD
  • 29M. De CuyperD
  • 8J. HinshelwoodM
  • 22A. Cozier-DuberryM
Coach: Fabian Hurzeler

Form going into Tromso vs Brighton

Tromso

  • L2-3away to Molde16 August 2026

Brighton

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Tromso and Brighton in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
3TromsoEliteserien2111554029+1138
3BrightonPremier League5311165+1110

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Eliteserien · Premier League

Leading scorers: Tromso and Brighton

Tromso

  • H. Larsen10 goals3 assists
  • J. Hjertø-Dahl7 goals2 assists

Brighton

  • P. Groß3 goals3 assists
  • C. Kostoulas2 goals1 assist
  • M. Yalcouyé2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.