Rangers vs FK Jablonec UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Rangers 1-0 FK Jablonec.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Rangers, 23% draw, 46% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 3.23, 4.35 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FK Jablonec at 46% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rangers vs FK Jablonec
Line-ups
- 1I. PandurG
- 21D. SterlingD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 22V. DragojevicM
- 6D. NeilM
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 17D. YokotaF
- 20R. NaderiF
- 23D. GassamaF
- 31L. KellyG
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 18K. NedeljkovicD
- 43N. RaskinM
- 16L. CameronM
- 11T. AasgaardM
- 8C. BarronM
- 14C. DevlinM
- 52F. CurtisF
- 1J. HanusG
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 4N. TekijaskiD
- 15D. PavlovicD
- 20J. SlamaD
- 13R. SedlacekM
- 25S. NebylaM
- 7V. ChanturishviliM
- 10J. SuchanM
- 21M. PolidarM
- 44L. JawoF
- 99K. MihelakG
- 57F. NovakD
- 23E. SobolD
- 14D. SoucekD
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 16H. AhlM
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 9A. RusekF
- 27F. VechetaF
Form going into Rangers vs FK Jablonec
Rangers
- D1-1Jagiellonia13 August 2026
- L1-2Hibernian9 August 2026
- L1-2away to Jagiellonia6 August 2026
- D1-1away to Dundee United31 July 2026
FK Jablonec
- W2-1away to Rīgas FS13 August 2026
- W1-0Slovácko9 August 2026
- W2-0Rīgas FS6 August 2026
- W2-0away to Pardubice2 August 2026
- W2-0NK Varazdin30 July 2026
What these results say
- Rangers did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Rangers scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Rangers conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- FK Jablonec won every one of these 5 matches.
- FK Jablonec scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FK Jablonec kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Rangers and FK Jablonec in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | Premiership | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 14 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premiership · Czech Liga
Leading scorers: Rangers and FK Jablonec
Rangers
- L. Shankland3 goals
- R. Naderi2 goals1 assist
FK Jablonec
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.