FC Sion vs Ajax UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Sion 2-4 Ajax.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% FC Sion, 28% draw, 39% Ajax — fair odds of 3.03, 3.57 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ajax at 39% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Sion vs Ajax
Line-ups
- 1A. RacioppiG
- 14N. LavanchyD
- 5N. SowD
- 17J. KronigD
- 20N. HeftiD
- 88A. KabacalmanM
- 8BaltazarM
- 7I. ChouarefM
- 13W. BoteliM
- 19F. SurdezM
- 33R. NivokaziF
- 12F. RubertoG
- 40S. CailletG
- 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
- 55L. VillaD
- 38R. KesslerD
- 10B. KololliM
- 77D. RrudhaniM
- 21L. ChipperfieldM
- 37F. SyllaM
- 1M. ter StegenG
- 3A. GaaeiD
- 30A. BouwmanD
- 15Y. BaasD
- 12Caio HenriqueD
- 18D. KlaassenM
- 6Y. RegeerM
- 8J. BrandtM
- 23S. BerghuisF
- 38Marcos LeonardoF
- 10O. GloukhF
- 22J. HeerkensG
- 26M. PaesG
- 5O. WijndalD
- 37J. SutaloD
- 36D. JanseD
- 21J. TorrentsD
- 2L. RosaD
- 68A. OuazaneM
- 24J. MokioM
Form going into FC Sion vs Ajax
FC Sion
- W2-1FC Noah13 August 2026
- W3-2FC Vaduz9 August 2026
- D2-2away to FC Noah6 August 2026
- W3-0FC Luzern2 August 2026
- W4-0Bate Borisov30 July 2026
Ajax
- D2-2Heerenveen16 August 2026
- D2-2away to Shelbourne13 August 2026
- W2-0away to PEC Zwolle9 August 2026
- W3-1Shelbourne6 August 2026
- W4-1Vojvodina30 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Sion went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Sion scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for FC Sion had three goals or more.
- Ajax went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Ajax scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Ajax conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
FC Sion and Ajax in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sion | Super League | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 | Ajax | Eredivisie | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League · Eredivisie
Leading scorers: FC Sion and Ajax
FC Sion
- Winsley Boteli Mokango6 goals4 assists
- J. Lukembila3 goals4 assists
Ajax
- J. Brandt4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.