20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Víkingsvollur Stadium, Reykjavik
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Vikingur Reykjavik 1-3 Borac Banja Luka.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Vikingur Reykjavik, 20% draw, 57% Borac Banja Luka — fair odds of 4.35, 5.00 and 1.75. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Borac Banja Luka at 57% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vikingur Reykjavik0%Draw1%Borac Banja Luka99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
⚽L. Juricicassist: S. Herrera
23'
⚽M. Jojicassist: L. Juricic
Nikolaj Hansen
41'
🔁N. Hansenout: V. Ingimundarson
67'
🔁S. Thordarsonout: H. Magnusson
67'
73'
Anderson Esiti
74'
🔁D. Hreljaout: A. Roguljic
⚽G. Sigurdsson (pen)
75'
79'
Amer Hiroš
🔁G. Vatnhamarout: R. Thorkelsson
82'
83'
🔁S. Savicout: P. Djajic
83'
🔁A. Hirosout: M. Deket
86'
⚽L. Juricicassist: P. Djajic
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson
90+2'
90+1'
🔁L. Juricicout: S. Sanicanin

Match stats — Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka

68%Possession32%
5On target5
10Corners2

Line-ups

Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3
  • 29A. FridrikssonG
  • 22K. GunnarssonD
  • 4O. EkrothD
  • 6G. VatnhamarD
  • 9H. GudjonssonD
  • 8V. AndrasonM
  • 10G. SigurdssonM
  • 77S. ThordarsonM
  • 69A. FinnbogasonM
  • 21A. ThrandarsonM
  • 23N. HansenF
Substitutes
  • 47O. KristinssonG
  • 99U. Audunsson
  • 80P. Arinbjornsson
  • 2S. ThorkelssonD
  • 5S. StefanssonD
  • 15R. ThorkelssonD
  • 18D. JonssonM
  • 24D. AtlasonD
  • 25V. IngimundarsonF
Coach: Solvi Ottesen
Borac Banja Luka 4-3-3
  • 72M. JurkasG
  • 30N. JaksicD
  • 24J. CarolinaD
  • 2B. MeijersD
  • 16S. HerreraD
  • 13A. EsitiM
  • 12A. HirosM
  • 18M. JojicM
  • 11D. HreljaM
  • 7L. JuricicF
  • 77S. SavicM
Substitutes
  • 1D. SiskovskiG
  • 3A. PascualD
  • 6S. SanicaninD
  • 14P. DjajicF
  • 19V. RoganD
  • 22I. Kukavica
  • 23S. VranjesM
  • 44A. RoguljicM
  • 47A. MilakM
Coach: Vinko Marinovic

Form going into Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka

Vikingur Reykjavik

  • W3-2FC Thun13 August 2026
  • L0-3away to FC Thun6 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Hapoel Beer Sheva29 July 2026
  • W2-1Hapoel Beer Sheva21 July 2026

Borac Banja Luka

  • W1-0ML Vitebsk6 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Petrocub30 July 2026
  • W3-0Petrocub23 July 2026

What these results say

  • Vikingur Reykjavik conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Vikingur Reykjavik had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.