Tottenham vs Everton Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Tottenham 0-0 Everton.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Tottenham, 30% draw, 29% Everton — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Tottenham at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tottenham vs Everton
Line-ups
- 31A. KinskýG
- 14A. GrayD
- 6J. van HeckeD
- 37M. van de VenD
- 3A. RobertsonD
- 30R. BentancurM
- 16S. TonaliM
- 17SávioM
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 22Omar MarmoushM
- 19D. SolankeF
- 10J. MaddisonM
- 15L. BergvallM
- 11M. TelF
- 20M. KudusM
- 39M. DúbravkaG
- 4T. AdarabioyoD
- 5M. SenesiD
- 33B. DaviesD
- 8C. GallagherM
- 1J. PickfordG
- 2A. Maitland-NilesD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 4J. BranthwaiteD
- 16V. MykolenkoD
- 45H. ArmstrongM
- 37J. GarnerM
- 22B. JohnsonM
- 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 19Tyrique GeorgeM
- 11T. BarryF
- 31T. KingG
- 5M. KeaneD
- 15J. O'BrienD
- 10J. GrealishM
- 20T. DiblingF
- 24C. AlcarazM
- 30H. HackneyM
- 12M. TraversG
- 58B. GrahamF
Form going into Tottenham vs Everton
Tottenham
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Nottingham Forest5 September 2026
- L0-2Newcastle29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Brentford22 August 2026
Everton
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Manchester United6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Bournemouth29 August 2026
- W2-0Crystal Palace22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tottenham vs Everton
- 24 May 2026Tottenham 1–0 EvertonPremier League
- 26 October 2025Everton 0–3 TottenhamPremier League
- 19 January 2025Everton 3–2 TottenhamPremier League
- 24 August 2024Tottenham 4–0 EvertonPremier League
- 3 February 2024Everton 2–2 TottenhamPremier League
Leading scorers: Tottenham and Everton
Tottenham
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Everton
GoalsAssists
- T. Barry30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tottenham and Everton drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Tottenham at 41% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on Tottenham v Everton has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 41% / 30% / 29%: the biggest move is Everton's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Tottenham win41%▲ +1
- Draw30%▲ +1
- Everton win29%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.