SK Beveren vs St. Truiden Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: SK Beveren 2-0 St. Truiden.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% SK Beveren, 28% draw, 33% St. Truiden — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SK Beveren at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
Line-ups
- 1J. SchenkG
- 21L. JansD
- 35Y. GomisD
- 31B. GodeauD
- 4C. JanssensD
- 18S. DewaeleM
- 44C. CondeM
- 5C. LokesaM
- 22C. BrülsM
- 17J. MargarithaM
- 9M. KaboréF
- 77S. KellerD
- 34C. KonatéD
- 14L. KuavitaM
- 84J. LusambaG
- 92L. MertensF
- 48J. RobatschD
- 8F. SlegersM
- 2D. ThompsonD
- 24A. VerschuerenM
- 16L. KokuboG
- 60R. VanwesemaelD
- 22W. JanssensD
- 26V. MusliuD
- 3T. HataD
- 14R. MerlenM
- 8A. SissakoM
- 38K. MatsuzawaM
- 71R. ArakiM
- 10I. SebaouiM
- 9S. BaždarF
- 4K. TakaiD
- 99S. ShinkawaM
- 23J. PupeD
- 11N. MbukuF
- 27Jeremy Kandje MbambiD
- 21M. LendfersG
- 18N. IshiwatariM
- 33A. DirikenM
- 77O. DioufF
Form going into SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Jupiler Pro League
- W3-0OH Leuven6 September 2026
St. Truiden
Jupiler Pro League
- W4-0RAAL La Louvière5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SK Beveren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | St. Truiden | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
- 6 April 2021SK Beveren 2–4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 28 November 2020St. Truiden 1–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 30 July 2020St. Truiden 4–1 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
- 26 December 2019SK Beveren 1–0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- 14 September 2019St. Truiden 1–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: SK Beveren and St. Truiden
SK Beveren
GoalsAssists
- C. Lokesa50
St. Truiden
GoalsAssists
- S. Baždar50
- R. Merlen34
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SK Beveren beat St. Truiden 2–0. The model had made a win for SK Beveren its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Chris Lokesa (penalty) 52' for SK Beveren, Jearl Margaritha 55' for SK Beveren.
How the call on SK Beveren v St. Truiden has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 34% / 28% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 39% / 28% / 33%: the biggest move is SK Beveren's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- SK Beveren win39%▲ +5
- Draw28%=
- St. Truiden win33%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.