KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: KVC Westerlo 4-2 Standard Liege.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% KVC Westerlo, 28% draw, 27% Standard Liege — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts KVC Westerlo at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
Line-ups
- 99A. JungdalG
- 2L. FløD
- 5S. KimuraD
- 4A. LapageD
- 28D. OuregaD
- 45I. FofanaM
- 14C. SandraM
- 20C. CongreveM
- 13I. SakamotoM
- 7S. SaitoM
- 9N. BassetteF
- 40B. BaloghD
- 11N. Bohamdi-KamoniF
- 26D. DionguM
- 88F. FerraroD
- 1B. LathouwersG
- 23L. Mbamba-MuandaD
- 10N. StormF
- 8S. SydorchukM
- 39T. Van den KeybusM
- 1M. EpoloG
- 13M. FosseyD
- 20I. KaramokoD
- 25I. HautekietD
- 7T. MohrD
- 94C. NielsenM
- 22A. TrouilletM
- 84R. TouzgharM
- 17Bernard NgueneF
- 10D. Eckert AyensaF
- 11A. AbidF
- 21L. PirardG
- 18H. LawrenceD
- 6L. GoemaereM
- 80R. FossoM
- 19S. JasperM
- 15S. DrammehM
- 29D. DierckxD
- 39Noah Abdoulaye SyM
- 77B. NsimbaF
Form going into KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
Jupiler Pro League
- W4-0away to KV Mechelen5 September 2026
Standard Liege
Jupiler Pro League
- W1-0Antwerp5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | KVC Westerlo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
- 19 May 2026KVC Westerlo 1–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 11 April 2026Standard Liege 1–2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 22 March 2026Standard Liege 0–0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 21 September 2025KVC Westerlo 0–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 24 May 2025KVC Westerlo 0–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
GoalsAssists
- N. Bassette70
- S. Saito51
Standard Liege
GoalsAssists
- D. Eckert Ayensa41
- A. Abid32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
KVC Westerlo beat Standard Liege 4–2. The model had made a win for KVC Westerlo its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Norman Bassette 12' for KVC Westerlo, Amando Lapage 56' for KVC Westerlo, Bruny Nsimba 66' for Standard Liege, Adnane Abid 71' for Standard Liege, Pape Daouda Diong 77' for KVC Westerlo, Thomas Van Den Keybus 90+2' for KVC Westerlo.
How the call on KVC Westerlo v Standard Liege has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 39% / 28% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is KVC Westerlo's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- KVC Westerlo win45%▲ +6
- Draw28%=
- Standard Liege win27%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.