Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Crystal Palace, 27% draw, 30% Ipswich — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Crystal Palace at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Crystal Palace vs Ipswich
Line-ups
- 44W. BenítezG
- 26C. RichardsD
- 5A. DisasiD
- 21H. AhanorD
- 25A. KhalailiM
- 23Q. TimberM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 3T. MitchellM
- 18D. KamadaM
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
- 11D. McNeilF
- 19W. HughesM
- 31R. MatthewsG
- 17T. TomiyasuD
- 33B. ChilwellD
- 30Óscar MinguezaD
- 28C. DoucouréM
- 8J. LermaM
- 12Z. GozoF
- 37K. ScherpenG
- 26D. O'SheaD
- 6I. DiopD
- 24J. GreavesD
- 3L. DavisD
- 23S. LukićM
- 25E. PalaciosM
- 7A. FatawuM
- 10J. EncisoM
- 47J. ClarkeM
- 19EmersonnF
- 11J. PhilogeneF
- 28C. WaltonG
- 4C. KipréD
- 42A. OuattaraD
- 12FlorentinoM
- 32M. NúñezM
- 38D. MaedaF
- 9Z. FlemmingF
- 29C. AkpomF
Form going into Crystal Palace vs Ipswich
Crystal Palace
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Fulham5 September 2026
- L1-4Manchester City28 August 2026
- L0-2away to Everton22 August 2026
Ipswich
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Liverpool4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Manchester United30 August 2026
- W2-1Sunderland22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 7 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Crystal Palace vs Ipswich
- 8 March 2025Crystal Palace 1–0 IpswichPremier League
- 3 December 2024Ipswich 0–1 Crystal PalacePremier League
- 16 July 2022Crystal Palace 4–2 IpswichFriendlies Clubs
- 24 July 2021Ipswich 0–1 Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs
- 22 August 2017Crystal Palace 2–1 IpswichLeague Cup
The result against the call
Ipswich won 3–2 at Crystal Palace. The model had leaned towards a win for Crystal Palace at 43% and given a win for Ipswich 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Anan Khalaili 14' for Crystal Palace, Emersonn 23' for Ipswich, Leif Davis 45' for Ipswich, Jörgen Strand Larsen 75' for Crystal Palace, Zian Flemming 90' for Ipswich. Sent off: Axel Disasi (Crystal Palace) 34'.