Tigres UANL vs Atlante FC Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Tigres UANL 2-0 Atlante FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Tigres UANL, 22% draw, 18% Atlante FC — fair odds of 1.67, 4.55 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Tigres UANL at 60%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tigres UANL vs Atlante FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1N. GuzmanG
- 14J. Garza
- 33R. GuerreroD
- 15A. FrancoD
- 32V. LoronaD
- 8F. GorriaranM
- 23RomuloM
- 16D. LainezM
- 11J. BrunettaM
- 30D. A. Sanchez GuevaraM
- 17R. AguirreF
- 25F. RodriguezG
- 28JoaquimD
- 26F. I. Ordonez DelgadoD
- 200D. RamirezD
- 6J. VigonM
- 192E. J. Villavicencio AvilaM
- 198I. GalvanM
- 34SimeoneM
- 19M. LainezF
- 1O. JimenezG
- 29W. PortalesD
- 6J. N. CarreraD
- 4E. TerceroD
- 44A. QuirosD
- 37W. ClarD
- 10O. VazquezM
- 8E. PizzutoM
- 19L. CalzadillaM
- 7Jhojan JulioF
- 9L. PuenteF
- 33Garcia JordanG
- 3L. SanchezD
- 32D. O. Bagui TobarD
- 14C. AlfaroD
- 30Martin SarrafioreM
- 27A. EscobarD
- 188D. Monarrez CamposM
- 15J. CharcopaF
- 11J. MoxicaF
Form going into Tigres UANL vs Atlante FC
Tigres UANL
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Atlas16 August 2026
- L2-3away to Club Queretaro1 August 2026
- D2-2Atletico San Luis26 July 2026
- L1-3away to Club Tijuana17 July 2026
Atlante FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Toluca15 August 2026
- W3-2away to Cruz Azul2 August 2026
- D1-1Club America25 July 2026
- L1-2away to Necaxa17 July 2026
What these results say
- Tigres UANL did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Tigres UANL scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Tigres UANL conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Atlante FC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Atlante FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Atlante FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Tigres UANL and Atlante FC
Tigres UANL
GoalsAssists
- J. Brunetta94
Atlante FC
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tigres UANL beat Atlante FC 2–0. The model had made a win for Tigres UANL its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: R. Aguirre 79' for Tigres UANL, J. Brunetta 90' for Tigres UANL. Sent off: Luis Calzadilla (Atlante FC) 36'. On expected goals it finished 1.17–1.14.