Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Guadalajara Chivas 5-2 Club Tijuana.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Guadalajara Chivas, 26% draw, 39% Club Tijuana — fair odds of 2.86, 3.85 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Club Tijuana at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana
Line-ups
- 1R. Rangel
- 24M. Gomez
- 3D. Campillo Del Campo
- 7L. Romo
- 30S. Sandoval
- 6O. Govea
- 28F. Gonzalez
- 14H. Camberos
- 25R. Alvarado
- 10E. Alvarez
- 17R. Marin
- 13O. Whalley
- 56A. Chavez
- 19K. Castaneda
- 59S. Inda
- 11B. Gutierrez
- 16L. Rey
- 9A. Sepulveda
- 33J. Carrillo
- 18J. Perez
- 2A. Rodriguez
- 3R. Fernandez
- 12J. Porozo
- 6A. Gomez
- 33P. N. Ortiz Orozco
- 8I. Tona
- 17R. Arciga
- 10G. Mora
- 15I. Rivero
- 7A. Preciado
- 19D. Abreu
- 29J. Hernandez
- 4U. Bilbao
- 16A. Vega
- 34F. Boya
- 20A. Zapata
- 26A. Perez
- 31Y. Padilla
- 9M. El Ghezouani
- 13Elias Manoel
Form going into Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Santos Laguna17 August 2026
- D1-1away to Puebla1 August 2026
- W1-0FC Juarez25 July 2026
- L0-2Toluca19 July 2026
Club Tijuana
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Cruz Azul17 August 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico San Luis1 August 2026
- W1-0Leon25 July 2026
- W3-1Tigres UANL17 July 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Guadalajara Chivas had two goals or fewer.
- Guadalajara Chivas scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Club Tijuana went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Club Tijuana won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Club Tijuana scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 30 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana
- 26 April 2026Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 23 August 2025Club Tijuana 3–3 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 10 February 2025Guadalajara Chivas 2–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 13 July 2024Club Tijuana 4–2 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 27 January 2024Club Tijuana 1–1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 23 August 2023Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Club TijuanaLiga MX
The result against the call
Guadalajara Chivas beat Club Tijuana 5–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Club Tijuana at 39% and given a win for Guadalajara Chivas 35%. The goals: S. Sandoval 23' for Guadalajara Chivas, R. Marin 31' for Guadalajara Chivas, R. Marin (penalty) 45' for Guadalajara Chivas, R. Alvarado 59' for Guadalajara Chivas, D. Campillo Del Campo 69' for Guadalajara Chivas, Elias Manoel 74' for Club Tijuana, Elias Manoel 90' for Club Tijuana.