FC Juarez vs Club America Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: FC Juarez 1-2 Club America.
Before kick-off the model made it 10% FC Juarez, 11% draw, 79% Club America — fair odds of 10.00, 9.09 and 1.27.
Most likely scoreline: 1-4.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Club America at 79%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Juarez vs Club America
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1S. JuradoG
- 33F. J. Nevarez PulgarinD
- 3J. MurilloD
- 2G. SepulvedaD
- 20J. AquinoD
- 13Rodrigo DouradoM
- 5D. GarciaM
- 9MadsonM
- 10J. M. Torres Ramirez I.M
- 11J. RodriguezM
- 19O. EstupinanF
- 27G. RuizG
- 23H. OrtegaD
- 4A. MayorgaD
- 14E. LopezM
- 7R. FulgencioM
- 16J. SigalaM
- 6MonchuM
- 8Guilherme CastilhoM
- 201J. CarmonaM
- 30R. CotaG
- 34D. EspinozaD
- 3I. ReyesD
- 4S. CaceresD
- 5K. AlvarezD
- 28E. SanchezM
- 13A. CervantesM
- 12I. ViolanteM
- 23Raphael VeigaM
- 7B. RodriguezM
- 9H. MartinF
- 21F. TapiaG
- 26C. BorjaD
- 29R. JuarezD
- 32M. VazquezD
- 6E. CerrilloM
- 186D. ArriagaM
- 20A. H. Gutierrez TorresM
- 33P. SalasF
- 22O. PereaF
Form going into FC Juarez vs Club America
FC Juarez
All competitions we cover
- L1-6away to Monterrey16 August 2026
- L1-5Pumas UNAM1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Guadalajara Chivas25 July 2026
- L0-1Puebla18 July 2026
Club America
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Atletico San Luis16 August 2026
- W3-0Santos Laguna2 August 2026
- D1-1away to Atlante FC25 July 2026
- W1-0away to Club Queretaro19 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Juarez did not win any of these 4 matches.
- FC Juarez conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Club America went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Club America scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Club America won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Juarez vs Club America
- 5 March 2026Club America 1–2 FC JuarezLiga MX
- 12 July 2025FC Juarez 1–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
- 1 February 2025Club America 4–0 FC JuarezLiga MX
- 21 July 2024FC Juarez 1–2 Club AmericaLiga MX
- 25 January 2024FC Juarez 0–2 Club AmericaLiga MX
- 1 July 2023Club America 1–2 FC JuarezLiga MX
Leading scorers: FC Juarez and Club America
FC Juarez
GoalsAssists
- Ó. Estupiñán80
Club America
GoalsAssists
- H. Martín113
- M. Borja60
- B. Rodríguez53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club America won 2–1 at FC Juarez. The model had made a win for Club America its most likely outcome, at 79%, so the call held; the score it named was 4–1. The goals: O. Estupinan 33' for FC Juarez, H. Martin 38' for Club America, H. Martin (penalty) 53' for Club America. On expected goals it finished 1.38–1.88.