Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Ludogorets 1-1 Slavia Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Ludogorets, 30% draw, 13% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 1.75, 3.33 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Ludogorets at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 39Hendrik BonmannG
- 2Joel AnderssonD
- 15Edvin KurtulusD
- 42Simeon ShishkovD
- 3Anton NedyalkovD
- 26Filip KaločM
- 23Deroy DuarteM
- 20Aguibou CamaraM
- 18Ivajlo ChochevM
- 7Alberto SalidoF
- 12Rwan CruzF
- 9Kwadwo DuahF
- 17SonD
- 14Petar StanićM
- 11Caio VidalM
- 4Hossam AbdelmaguidD
- 1Sergio PadtG
- 55Idan NachmiasD
- 22Mihail Polen DakovD
- 5Georgi TerzievD
- 99Ivan AndonovG
- 87Diego FerraressoD
- 4Nikola SavićD
- 5David MalembanaD
- 26Dimitar BurovM
- 71Kristiyan StoyanovM
- 95Vladimir MiletićM
- 77Emil StoevM
- 7Roberto RaychevM
- 27Umaro BaldéM
- 88Vladimir NikolovF
- 24Lazar MarinD
- 20Jordan Semedo VarelaD
- 11Mouhamed DossoM
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 9Yoan BornosuzovF
- 63Levi NtumbaG
- 1Georgi PetkovG
- 3Martin GeorgievD
- 6Boris TodorovM
Form going into Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia
Ludogorets
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Botev Plovdiv15 August 2026
- W3-2away to Cherno More Varna9 August 2026
- W2-1Botev Vratsa2 August 2026
- D2-2Hapoel Tel Aviv30 July 2026
- W2-0away to Dunav Ruse27 July 2026
Slavia Sofia
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Botev Vratsa10 August 2026
- D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia31 July 2026
- L0-1away to Arda Kardzhali24 July 2026
- D0-0CSKA Sofia20 July 2026
What these results say
- Ludogorets went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Ludogorets scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Ludogorets won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slavia Sofia failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Slavia Sofia had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 30 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia
- 8 December 2025Ludogorets 1–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 9 August 2025Slavia Sofia 0–3 LudogoretsFirst League
- 1 December 2024Ludogorets 2–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 18 September 2024Slavia Sofia 0–1 LudogoretsFirst League
- 27 November 2023Ludogorets 2–3 Slavia SofiaFirst League
Leading scorers: Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia
Ludogorets
GoalsAssists
- B. Tekpetey20
- Rwan Cruz12
Slavia Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Ludogorets at 57% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Nikola Savić 7' for Slavia Sofia, Kwadwo Duah 41' for Ludogorets. Sent off: Rwan Cruz (Ludogorets) 20'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.