22 August 2026, 18:15 UTC

Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna First League prediction & result

Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Full time6 – 0

Final score: Levski Sofia 6-0 Spartak Varna.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% Levski Sofia, 23% draw, 16% Spartak Varna — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Levski Sofia at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Levski Sofia99%Draw1%Spartak Varna0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Armstrong Oko-Flexassist: Serginho
8'
⚽Juan Perea
15'
🔁Álex Centellesout: Maicon
46'
46'
🔁Tsvetoslav Marinovout: Ricardo Sousa
49'
Ricardo Sousa
59'
🔁Anton Ivanovout: Jota Lopes
⚽David Kusso
60'
60'
🔁Ahmed Ahmedovout: Tsvetelin Chunchukov
60'
🔁Buáout: Tomás Silva
🔁Serginhoout: El Mehdi Moubarik
63'
🔁Asen Ivanov Mitkovout: Marko Grujić
63'
⚽Armstrong Oko-Flexassist: Mazire Soula
64'
🔁Armstrong Oko-Flexout: Adrian Raychev
71'
75'
🔁Boubacar Hanneout: Sámuel Major
79'
Vasco Oliveira
🔁Juan Pereaout: Steven Stoyanchov
80'
⚽Steven Stoyanchovassist: Maicon
87'
⚽Adrian Raychevassist: El Mehdi Moubarik
90'

Line-ups

Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 92Svetoslav VutsovG
  • 2Hevertton SantosD
  • 18Gašper TrdinM
  • 4Christian MakounD
  • 20Álex CentellesD
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 10Asen Ivanov MitkovM
  • 27David KussoM
  • 22Mazire SoulaM
  • 11Armstrong Oko-FlexM
  • 9Juan PereaF
Substitutes
  • 3MaiconD
  • 8Marko GrujićM
  • 19El Mehdi MoubarikM
  • 77Adrian RaychevM
  • 28Steven StoyanchovF
  • 1Ognyan VladimirovG
  • 50Kristian DimitrovD
  • 31Nikola SerafimovD
  • 21AldairD
Coach: Julio Velazquez
Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1
  • 23Plamen IlievG
  • 76David Valverde JuanM
  • 44Angel GranchovD
  • 45Joey TshitokuD
  • 4Boris IvanovD
  • 17Tsvetoslav MarinovM
  • 72Vasco OliveiraD
  • 77Anton IvanovF
  • 11Boubacar HanneF
  • 7BuáM
  • 70Ahmed AhmedovF
Substitutes
  • 6Ricardo SousaM
  • 10Jota LopesM
  • 82Tomás SilvaM
  • 9Tsvetelin ChunchukovF
  • 19Sámuel MajorM
  • 1Pedro VictorG
  • 3Mateo Jurić-PetrašiloD
  • 80Ángel Gomes ArevaloF
  • 99Georgi TrifonovF
Coach: Yasen Petrov

Form going into Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna

Levski Sofia

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0AEK Athens FC18 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Kairat Almaty11 August 2026
  • W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv7 August 2026
  • W1-0Kairat Almaty4 August 2026
  • W3-0Septemvri Sofia1 August 2026

Spartak Varna

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Septemvri Sofia17 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Botev Plovdiv10 August 2026
  • W1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv3 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Cherno More Varna26 July 2026
  • D2-2CSKA 194817 July 2026

What these results say

  • Levski Sofia went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Levski Sofia kept a clean sheet in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Levski Sofia won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Spartak Varna scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Levski Sofia131021258+1732
7Spartak Varna144461525-1016

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna

  • 7 December 2025Spartak Varna 1–3 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 10 August 2025Levski Sofia 2–1 Spartak VarnaFirst League
  • 21 February 2025Levski Sofia 2–0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
  • 31 August 2024Spartak Varna 0–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 6 November 2022Spartak Varna 2–2 Levski SofiaFirst League

Leading scorers: Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna

Levski Sofia

No player in First League's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.

Spartak Varna

GoalsAssists

  • Georg Stojanovski11
  • J. Tshitoku10

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Levski Sofia beat Spartak Varna 6–0. The model had made a win for Levski Sofia its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Armstrong Oko-Flex 8' for Levski Sofia, Juan Perea 15' for Levski Sofia, David Kusso 60' for Levski Sofia, Armstrong Oko-Flex 64' for Levski Sofia, Steven Stoyanchov 87' for Levski Sofia, Adrian Raychev 90' for Levski Sofia. Sent off: Vasco Oliveira (Spartak Varna) 79'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.