Liga MX predictions

Saturday 10 October — 4 matches

• 01:00 UTC Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC — model 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.45 · 4.00.
• 01:00 UTC Puebla vs Leon — model 38% / 30% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.33 · 3.13.
• 03:00 UTC Tigres UANL vs Toluca — model 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.78 · 3.45 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 23:00 UTC FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana — model 32% / 27% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.70 · 2.44.

Sunday 11 October — 4 matches

• 01:00 UTC Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas — model 32% / 29% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.45 · 2.56.
• 03:00 UTC Club America vs Monterrey — model 52% / 25% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.92 · 4.00 · 4.35.
• 23:00 UTC CF Pachuca vs Necaxa — model 53% / 26% / 21%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.89 · 3.85 · 4.76.
• 23:00 UTC Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna — model 46% / 27% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.70 · 3.70.

Monday 12 October — 1 match

• 01:00 UTC Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul — model 41% / 27% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.70 · 3.13.

Saturday 17 October — 5 matches

• 01:00 UTC Necaxa vs Atlas — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 03:00 UTC Club Tijuana vs Puebla — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17.
• 03:00 UTC Atlante FC vs Pumas UNAM — model 37% / 29% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.45 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
• 23:00 UTC Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro — model 32% / 31% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.23 · 2.70.
• 23:07 UTC Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL — model 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.45 · 4.00.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

26–28 September: the model called the result of 4 of 9 matches, 2 of them to the exact score.

• Atlante FC 4–2 Monterrey — the model said 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Club Tijuana 2–3 Atlas — the model said 47% / 28% / 25%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Cruz Azul 3–3 Toluca — the model said 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Guadalajara Chivas 0–2 Club Queretaro — the model said 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Santos Laguna 1–0 CF Pachuca — the model said 30% / 29% / 41%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Tigres UANL 1–0 Puebla — the model said 47% / 29% / 24%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
• Pumas UNAM 2–3 Atletico San Luis — the model said 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Leon 2–1 FC Juarez — the model said 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
• Necaxa 2–4 Club America — the model said 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 1-2: result correct.