UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja

Generali Arena, Vienna

The model makes it 65% Austria Vienna, 21% draw, 14% FK Liepaja — fair odds of 1.54, 4.76 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).

Expected goals: Austria Vienna 2.00, FK Liepaja 0.80.

Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

48%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines2-0 12%1-0 12%1-1 10%

Head-to-head: Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja

23 July 2026FK Liepaja 0–2 Austria ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Austria Vienna the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2 expected goals for Austria Vienna against 0.8 for FK Liepaja. Austria Vienna's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.24 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/2.04 for FK Liepaja.