23 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New Saints.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Flora Tallinn, 45% draw, 20% The New Saints — fair odds of 2.86, 2.22 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 45% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽R. Valdmetsassist: S. Zenjov
31'
61'
🔁J. Williamsout: E. Farrell
61'
🔁D. Cornessout: R. Holden
61'
🔁R. Brobbelout: B. Clark
🔁R. Valdmetsout: T. Usta
64'
🔁S. Zenjovout: R. Alliku
69'
🔁D. Kuraksinout: I. Antonov
72'
90+1'
Daniel Williams

Line-ups

Flora Tallinn 4-3-3
  • 33Evert GrünvaldG
  • 7Danil KuraksinM
  • 23Mihhail KolobovD
  • 3Airon KolloD
  • 26Sander TovstikD
  • 18Remo ValdmetsM
  • 32Vladislav KreidaM
  • 14Tony VarjundM
  • 20Sergei ZenjovM
  • 11Rauno SappinenF
  • 29Sander AlamaaM
Substitutes
  • 17Taaniel UstaF
  • 9Rauno AllikuM
  • 67Ilja AntonovM
  • 22Andero TatrikG
  • 99Kaur KivilaG
  • 6Robert VeeringD
  • 24Oscar PihelaD
  • 53Ronald SammulD
  • 8Tristan Toomas TeeväliM
Coach: Konstantin Vasiliev
The New Saints 4-3-3
  • 1Nathan ShepperdG
  • 22Danny DaviesD
  • 16Dynel SimeuD
  • 6Jack BodenhamD
  • 10Daniel RedmondM
  • 21Leo SmithM
  • 14Daniel WilliamsD
  • 4Dominic CornessM
  • 8Ryan BrobbelM
  • 17Jordan WilliamsF
  • 20Rhys HughesM
Substitutes
  • 15Eoin FarrellM
  • 18Rory HoldenM
  • 19Ben ClarkM
  • 30Jack EdwardsG
  • 2Jacob OwenD
  • 12Harvey Godsmark-FordD
  • 23Zach NolanD
  • 31Ben WoollamD
  • 34Joshua LockM
Coach: Craig Harrison

Head-to-head: Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints

  • 23 July 2026Flora Tallinn 1–0 The New SaintsUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.