Talleres Cordoba
vs
Estudiantes La Plata
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Talleres Cordoba 0–1 Estudiantes La Plata
The model makes it 32% Talleres Cordoba, 32% draw, 36% Estudiantes La Plata — fair odds of 3.13, 3.13 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Talleres Cordoba 0.97, Estudiantes La Plata 1.07.
Both teams to score: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 33%, under 2.5: 67%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,017 settled matches.
Edge to Estudiantes La Plata: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Key facts
- Talleres Cordoba are bottom on 9 points from 14 games; Estudiantes La Plata are 10th on 14 points from 13 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group A.
- Talleres Cordoba have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Defensa Y Justicia.
- Estudiantes La Plata have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to San Lorenzo.
- Last 5 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 1 draw; the most recent, 25 April 2026, ended Estudiantes La Plata 0–0 Talleres Cordoba.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Talleres Cordoba vs Estudiantes La Plata
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Estudiantes La Plata at 36% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 3,676 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Estudiantes La Plata
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L1-2Defensa Y Justicia24 October 2026
- L1-2away to Boca Juniors17 October 2026
- D0-0Independiente12 October 2026
- L0-1Belgrano Cordoba4 October 2026
- L1-3away to Instituto Cordoba20 September 2026
Estudiantes La Plata
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L1-2San Lorenzo18 October 2026
- D2-2away to Central Cordoba de Santiago10 October 2026
- W3-0Gimnasia Mendoza5 October 2026
- L1-2away to Lanus22 September 2026
- W2-1Platense12 September 2026
What these results say
- Talleres Cordoba did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Estudiantes La Plata scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Estudiantes La Plata had three goals or more.
- Estudiantes La Plata conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | Estudiantes La Plata | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Estudiantes La Plata
- 25 April 2026Estudiantes La Plata 0–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 31 August 2024Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 23 April 2023Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 August 2022Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 31 August 2021Talleres Cordoba 2–0 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
The two sides
Talleres Cordoba carry a model rating of 6.51 against 6.7 for Estudiantes La Plata. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.97 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 1.07 for Estudiantes La Plata. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Talleres Cordoba rate 0.69 in attack and 1.36 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Estudiantes La Plata rate 0.85 and 1.14.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Estudiantes La Plata the highest probability at 36%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.97 expected goals for Talleres Cordoba against 1.07 for Estudiantes La Plata. Talleres Cordoba's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.36 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.85/1.14 for Estudiantes La Plata.
How the model reaches 36% for Estudiantes La Plata to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 34% for Estudiantes La Plata to win. Then home advantage takes away 6 points, Talleres Cordoba's ratings add 15 points and Estudiantes La Plata's ratings take away 7 points, which lands on the published 36%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground34%
- Home advantage28%−6
- Talleres Cordoba's ratings43%+15
- Estudiantes La Plata's ratings36%−7
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Talleres Cordoba at home · Estudiantes La Plata away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Talleres Cordoba 30, Estudiantes La Plata 30.
Talleres Cordoba score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Estudiantes La Plata have let in 6 there.
Estudiantes La Plata score most often in the 76–90 minute window (12 goals); Talleres Cordoba have let in 11 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
Next match, by difficulty
Talleres Cordoba
No further matches on our board yet.
Estudiantes La Plata
- vs Palmeiras28 Nov · CONMEBOL Libertadoreswin 27%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.