Switzerland vs Slovenia UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Switzerland, 28% draw, 22% Slovenia — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Switzerland at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Switzerland vs Slovenia
Line-ups
- 1G. KobelG
- 16Z. AthekameD
- 4N. ElvediD
- 5M. AkanjiD
- 13R. RodríguezD
- 14A. JashariM
- 8R. FreulerM
- 20M. AebischerM
- 9J. ManzambiM
- 11D. NdoyeM
- 10Z. AmdouniF
- 19Winsley Boteli MokangoF
- 7Joël MonteiroF
- 12Y. MvogoG
- 21M. KellerG
- 18E. CömertD
- 2S. BritschgiD
- 22F. RiederM
- 3A. BajramiD
- 23A. SanchesM
- 1J. OblakG
- 2Ž. KarničnikD
- 21V. DrkušićD
- 6J. BijolD
- 17D. ZecD
- 13E. JanžaD
- 20A. MatkoM
- 4M. ZabukovnikM
- 8S. LovrićM
- 15D. ŠturmM
- 18Z. VipotnikF
- 23D. BrekaloD
- 11Ž. CelarF
- 10T. ElšnikM
- 22A. ČerinM
- 19T. HorvatM
- 5S. KuzmićD
- 14T. SvetlinM
- 7J. UrbančičD
- 16I. VekičG
Form going into Switzerland vs Slovenia
Switzerland
UEFA Nations League
- W3-0away to Scotland29 September 2026
- W3-0away to North Macedonia26 September 2026
Slovenia
UEFA Nations League
- W2-0North Macedonia29 September 2026
- D0-0Scotland26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Switzerland vs Slovenia
- 13 October 2025Slovenia 0–0 SwitzerlandWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
- 8 September 2025Switzerland 3–0 SloveniaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
Leading scorers: Switzerland and Slovenia
Switzerland
GoalsAssists
- Z. Amdouni31
- D. Ndoye23
Slovenia
GoalsAssists
- A. Matko22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Switzerland beat Slovenia 2–1. The model had made a win for Switzerland its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Zan Vipotnik 2' for Slovenia, Erik Janža (own goal) 10' for Switzerland, Dan Ndoye 38' for Switzerland.
How the call on Switzerland v Slovenia has moved
First published on 19 Sep at 55% / 26% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 50% / 28% / 22%: the biggest move is Switzerland's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Switzerland win50%▼ −5
- Draw28%▲ +2
- Slovenia win22%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.