3 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares Primera A prediction & result

Estadio Cincuentenario
Referee: Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Águilas Doradas 2-0 Jaguares.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Águilas Doradas, 28% draw, 25% Jaguares — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Águilas Doradas at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Águilas Doradas7%Draw91%Jaguares2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ricardo Marquez
35'
45'
🔁Duvan Rodriguezout: Santiago Cubides
45'
🔁Juan Esteban Francoout: Jonathan Lovera
59'
🔁Cristian Alvarezout: Johan Beltrán
59'
🔁Darwin Lopezout: Johar Mejia
59'
Diego Martínez
60'
Andrés Rentería
62'
Rafael Bustamante
🔁Iván Rojasout: Eduar Arízalas
67'
🔁Matías Ramírezout: Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
67'
🔁Dylan Lozanoout: Jhon Meléndez
67'
Jhon Meléndez
68'
77'
🔁Luis Jimenezout: Carlos Cantillo
🔁Fabián Suárezout: Anthony Vásquez
81'
🔁Andres Mosqueraout: Nicolás Lara Vásquez
84'
85'
Diego Martínez
⚽Ricardo Marquez (pen)
90'
Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
90+3'
90+4'
Jonathan Lovera
Andres Ricaurte
90+4'
⚽Eduar Arízalas
90+7'

Match stats — Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares

60%Possession40%
26Shots4
8On target0
7Corners5

Line-ups

Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. SotoG
  • 26D. LozanoD
  • 4A. MosqueraD
  • 3J. OntanedaD
  • 32J. MenaD
  • 19F. LozanoM
  • 6I. RojasM
  • 15F. SuárezM
  • 8A. RicaurteM
  • 16M. RamírezM
  • 21R. MárquezF
Substitutes
  • 29T. BlandonF
  • 7Eduar ArízalasF
  • 20Alberto HigginsD
  • 12Juan HurtadoG
  • 30N. LaraD
  • 13J. MelendezD
  • 10Junior Alexander Noguera MachucaM
  • 9A. VásquezF
  • 24J. ÁvaloM
Coach: F. Robatto
Jaguares 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. MartínezG
  • 4J. FrancoD
  • 3J. MalagónD
  • 29C. HenaoD
  • 18L. JiménezD
  • 5R. ColpaM
  • 21R. BustamanteM
  • 8D. RodríguezM
  • 10C. ÁlvarezM
  • 17D. LópezM
  • 11A. RenteríaF
Substitutes
  • 9J. MejiaF
  • 6J. LoveraM
  • 7W. De La RosaF
  • 24S. CubidesF
  • 19C. CantilloM
  • 16E. BeltránF
  • 12F. MosqueraG
Coach: H. Bodhert

Form going into Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares

Águilas Doradas

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Deportivo Cali28 September 2026
  • L0-1away to America de Cali24 September 2026

Jaguares

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Alianza Valledupar27 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Independiente Medellin22 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Águilas Doradas186752221+125
19Jaguares1834111735-1813

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares

  • 10 May 2026Águilas Doradas 0–0 JaguaresCopa Colombia
  • 23 March 2026Jaguares 1–1 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
  • 14 August 2024Águilas Doradas 1–0 JaguaresPrimera A
  • 9 February 2024Jaguares 1–0 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
  • 9 November 2023Jaguares 0–1 Águilas DoradasPrimera A

Leading scorers: Águilas Doradas and Jaguares

Águilas Doradas

GoalsAssists

  • Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto110

Jaguares

GoalsAssists

  • A. Rentería123

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Águilas Doradas beat Jaguares 2–0. The model had made a win for Águilas Doradas its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ricardo Marquez (penalty) 90' for Águilas Doradas, Eduar Arízalas 90+7' for Águilas Doradas. Sent off: Diego Martínez (Jaguares) 85'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.