The model rates their attack at 0.91× the league average and their defence at 1.00× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Next they host Scotland in the UEFA Nations League on 26 September 2026, a match the model gives them 36%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Attacking strength0.91× league avg
Defensive solidity1.00× goals conceded
Next match: Slovenia vs Scotland
Slovenia host Scotland on 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 36% Slovenia, 30% draw and 34% Scotland, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.29 expected goals for Slovenia against 1.24. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Full preview and model analysis for Slovenia vs Scotland