3 October 2026, 11:30 UTC

Chesterfield vs Tranmere League Two prediction & result

Proact Stadium, Chesterfield
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Chesterfield 4-2 Tranmere.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Chesterfield, 28% draw, 25% Tranmere — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Chesterfield at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Chesterfield99%Draw1%Tranmere0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Paul Anthony Cook
10'
⚽Dilan Markandayassist: Remeao Hutton
15'
18'
Tom Conlon
Lee Bonis
21'
34'
🔁Zane Okoroout: dylan jones
41'
Joe Ironside
George McEachran
54'
57'
Joel Senior
59'
⚽dylan jonesassist: Thomas Ince
61'
🔁Joe Ironsideout: David Kamara
61'
🔁Tom Conlonout: Sam Finley
🔁Joel Randallout: Josh Koroma
71'
Kyle McFadzean
79'
⚽Louie Marshassist: Dilan Markanday
83'
⚽Josh Koromaassist: Louie Marsh
85'
🔁Lewis Gordonout: Tom Pearce
87'
🔁Remeao Huttonout: Junior Eccleston
87'
🔁George McEachranout: Kiano Dyer
88'
🔁Louie Marshout: Liam Mandeville
88'
⚽Josh Koromaassist: Lee Bonis
90+1'
90+4'
⚽Jacob Slaterassist: Sam Finley

Match stats — Chesterfield vs Tranmere

66%Possession34%
26Shots6
10On target3
12Corners1

Line-ups

Chesterfield 4-2-3-1
  • 23R. BootG
  • 33R. HuttonD
  • 5K. McFadzeanD
  • 6J. SimpsonD
  • 19L. GordonD
  • 8R. StirkM
  • 20G. McEachranM
  • 24D. MarkandayM
  • 18L. MarshM
  • 31J. RandallM
  • 10L. BonisF
Substitutes
  • 46T. PearceD
  • 4T. NaylorM
  • 7L. MandevilleM
  • 37J. KoromaF
  • 27K. DyerM
  • 9F. BrydenF
  • 26J. EcclestonD
Coach: P. Cook
Tranmere 4-2-3-1
  • 12H. MaleG
  • 2J. SeniorD
  • 16B. FaulknerD
  • 5N. SmithD
  • 3J. SlaterD
  • 6W. VaulksM
  • 11T. ConlonM
  • 17Z. OkoroM
  • 10T. InceM
  • 7Charlie Jay WhitakerM
  • 9J. IronsideF
Substitutes
  • 44R. WatsonM
  • 13C. Boyce-ClarkeG
  • 23P. BroughD
  • 8S. FinleyM
  • 29D. JonesF
  • 24David KamaraF
  • 22L. O'ConnorD
Coach: D. Clarke

Form going into Chesterfield vs Tranmere

Chesterfield

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Cheltenham26 September 2026

Tranmere

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Walsall26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Chesterfield145452421+319
11Tranmere144731917+219

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Chesterfield vs Tranmere

  • 11 April 2026Chesterfield 1–1 TranmereLeague Two
  • 25 October 2025Tranmere 1–1 ChesterfieldLeague Two
  • 5 April 2025Tranmere 4–0 ChesterfieldLeague Two
  • 7 December 2024Chesterfield 3–0 TranmereLeague Two
  • 1 December 2012Tranmere 2–1 ChesterfieldFA Cup

Leading scorers: Chesterfield and Tranmere

Chesterfield

GoalsAssists

  • L. Marsh51

Tranmere

GoalsAssists

  • D. Jones50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Chesterfield beat Tranmere 4–2. The model had made a win for Chesterfield its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Dilan Markanday 15' for Chesterfield, dylan jones 59' for Tranmere, Louie Marsh 83' for Chesterfield, Josh Koroma 85' for Chesterfield, Josh Koroma 90+1' for Chesterfield, Jacob Slater 90+4' for Tranmere.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.