Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Cali 3-1 Alianza Valledupar.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Deportivo Cali, 28% draw, 18% Alianza Valledupar — fair odds of 1.85, 3.57 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Deportivo Cali at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar
Line-ups
- 38A. RodríguezG
- 27F. ViáfaraD
- 12J. CalderaD
- 4Fernando Antonio Álvarez AmadorD
- 28E. VelascoD
- 15L. ChaverraM
- 5G. CuéllarM
- 20E. BelloM
- 10E. ReynosoM
- 19J. MartínezM
- 9J. DinennoF
- 70C. BaccaF
- 14A. Castillo ManyomaM
- 32Santiago Mondragón AlzateG
- 2J. MoyaD
- 23S. RodríguezF
- 16K. SandovalD
- 29Kevin CaicedoM
- 26J. TelloD
- 8D. GiraldoM
- 40E. EstebanG
- 22J. FigueroaD
- 3K. MorenoD
- 32J. ViverosD
- 33J. LassoD
- 6E. MezaM
- 7J. CastilloM
- 23I. AlbaM
- 10D. QuiñónesM
- 8J. MuñozM
- 18C. VergaraF
- 14C. VillegasF
- 13A. SimancasG
- 2Sebastián QuiñonesD
- 25J. PerezM
- 88L. PalaciosM
- 77M. MartínezF
- 55W. FernándezM
Form going into Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Águilas Doradas28 September 2026
- W1-0away to Santa Fe23 September 2026
Alianza Valledupar
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Jaguares27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 10 | +16 | 34 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar
- 21 May 2026Deportivo Cali 1–0 Alianza ValleduparCopa Colombia
- 22 March 2026Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
- 28 October 2025Deportivo Cali 0–1 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
- 11 May 2025Alianza Valledupar 2–0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
- 22 July 2024Deportivo Cali 1–0 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Leading scorers: Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
GoalsAssists
- S. Rodríguez113
Alianza Valledupar
No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Deportivo Cali beat Alianza Valledupar 3–1. The model had made a win for Deportivo Cali its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Leyner Palacios 61' for Alianza Valledupar, Juan Dinenno 69' for Deportivo Cali, Jose Carlos Caldera 79' for Deportivo Cali, Alexis Castillo Manyoma 90+4' for Deportivo Cali. Sent off: Gustavo Cuéllar (Deportivo Cali) 80'.