Swansea vs Sheffield Utd Championship prediction & result
Final score: Swansea 0-0 Sheffield Utd.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Swansea, 23% draw, 26% Sheffield Utd — fair odds of 1.96, 4.35 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Swansea at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Swansea vs Sheffield Utd
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22Lawrence VigourouxG
- 26Filip LissahD
- 5Ben CabangoD
- 23Stephen WelshD
- 14Josh TymonD
- 6Marko StamenićM
- 4Jay FultonM
- 30Joseph OpokuM
- 8Elijah JustM
- 49Moussa Kounfolo YeoM
- 33Adam IdahF
- 1Andrew FisherG
- 2Josh KeyD
- 20Tiago ParenteD
- 21Leo WaltaM
- 10Ji-sung EomF
- 35RonaldF
- 7Melker WidellM
- 9Žan VipotnikF
- 31Ross StewartF
- 1Michael CooperG
- 5Japhet TangangaD
- 25Mark McGuinnessD
- 3Sam McCallumD
- 7Joe RothwellM
- 38Femi SerikiM
- 4Oliver ArblasterM
- 42Sydie PeckM
- 14Harrison BurrowsM
- 45Patrick BamfordF
- 10Callum O'HareF
- 17Adam DaviesG
- 2Matt DohertyD
- 33Jamal BaptisteM
- 30Rhys Norrington-DaviesD
- 16Jamie ShackletonD
- 44Jaïro RiedewaldM
- 11Romelle DonovanM
- 23Tyrese CampbellF
- 9Thomas CannonF
Form going into Swansea vs Sheffield Utd
Swansea
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Stoke City15 August 2026
Sheffield Utd
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Birmingham15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Swansea | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Swansea vs Sheffield Utd
- 3 April 2026Sheffield Utd 3–3 SwanseaChampionship
- 16 August 2025Swansea 1–0 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- 21 January 2025Swansea 1–2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- 2 October 2024Sheffield Utd 1–0 SwanseaChampionship
- 11 February 2023Sheffield Utd 3–0 SwanseaChampionship
Leading scorers: Swansea and Sheffield Utd
Swansea
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 22 league goals as a side.
Sheffield Utd
GoalsAssists
- P. Bamford51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Swansea and Sheffield Utd drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Swansea at 51% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.33–0.61.