Preston vs Wolves Championship prediction & result
Final score: Preston 1-3 Wolves.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Preston, 19% draw, 43% Wolves — fair odds of 2.63, 5.26 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-3.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Wolves at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Preston vs Wolves
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Daniel IversenG
- 4Harry ClarkeD
- 14Jordan StoreyD
- 6Liam LindsayD
- 16Andrew HughesD
- 8Ali McCannM
- 27Leo LeroyM
- 7Alfie DevineM
- 10Callum LangM
- 37Delano BurgzorgM
- 9Jusef ErabiF
- 21Lee NichollsG
- 2Pol ValentínD
- 3Andrija VukčevićD
- 32Ed NolanD
- 19Lewis GibsonD
- 15Jordan ThompsonM
- 23Andrew MoranM
- 11Thierry SmallD
- 30George GrybaF
- 1José SáG
- 38Jackson TchatchouaD
- 34Nasser DjigaD
- 24Toti GomesD
- 3Hugo BuenoD
- 5Marshall MunetsiM
- 7AndréM
- 21Rodrigo GomesM
- 28Fer LópezM
- 36Mateus ManéM
- 9Raúl JiménezF
- 31Sam JohnstoneG
- 6David Møller WolfeD
- 4Santiago BuenoD
- 17Pedro LimaD
- 23Tawanda ChirewaF
- 12Boubacar TraoréM
- 20Tommy DoyleM
- 8Jordan JamesM
- 10Adam ArmstrongF
Form going into Preston vs Wolves
Preston
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Bolton15 August 2026
Wolves
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Blackburn14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Preston | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
| 4 | Wolves | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Preston vs Wolves
- 23 August 2022Wolves 2–1 PrestonLeague Cup
- 17 February 2018Preston 1–1 WolvesChampionship
- 21 October 2017Wolves 3–2 PrestonChampionship
- 7 May 2017Wolves 1–0 PrestonChampionship
- 19 November 2016Preston 0–0 WolvesChampionship
Leading scorers: Preston and Wolves
Preston
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Wolves
GoalsAssists
- Fer López63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wolves won 3–1 at Preston. The model had made a win for Wolves its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–2. The goals: F. Lopez 8' for Wolves, A. Armstrong 71' for Wolves, F. Lopez 82' for Wolves, J. Thompson 90+1' for Preston. On expected goals it finished 0.15–0.58.