Dinamo Bucuresti
vs
Universitatea Cluj
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 66% Dinamo Bucuresti, 21% draw, 13% Universitatea Cluj — fair odds of 1.52, 4.76 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Dinamo Bucuresti 2.08, Universitatea Cluj 0.82.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Dinamo Bucuresti
- W4-0FC Voluntari8 August 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul31 July 2026
- W5-1Universitatea Craiova25 July 2026
- L0-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti19 July 2026
Universitatea Cluj
- W2-1FC Botosani3 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe26 July 2026
- W2-1Farul Constanta19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 7 |
| 6 | Universitatea Cluj | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Dinamo Bucuresti
- Alberto Soro2 goals1 assists
- A. Musi2 goals
Universitatea Cluj
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Dinamo Bucuresti carry a model rating of 6.72 against 6.43 for Universitatea Cluj. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Dinamo Bucuresti L-W-D-W; Universitatea Cluj W-L-W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.08 goals for Dinamo Bucuresti and 0.82 for Universitatea Cluj. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Dinamo Bucuresti rate 0.88 in attack and 1.15 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Universitatea Cluj rate 0.51 and 1.25.
That points to 55% for over two and a half goals and 49% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dinamo Bucuresti the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.08 expected goals for Dinamo Bucuresti against 0.82 for Universitatea Cluj. Dinamo Bucuresti's attack/defence rating is 0.88/1.15 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.25 for Universitatea Cluj.