Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Sudtirol 1-0 Virtus Entella.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Sudtirol, 31% draw, 31% Virtus Entella — fair odds of 2.63, 3.23 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sudtirol at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22A. PlizzariG
- 79S. MolinaD
- 4R. StivanelloD
- 55A. GiorginiD
- 27G. StabileD
- 20B. BjarkasonD
- 11V. LopesM
- 8N. PyyhtiaM
- 5S. TronchinM
- 14A. VasicM
- 33S. MerkajF
- 12R. VadjunecG
- 23F. DaviD
- 24S. DaviD
- 3D. VeroliD
- 39M. IulianoD
- 21F. TaitM
- 6J. MartiniM
- 46D. BrikM
- 10F. RispoliM
- 22F. Del FrateG
- 3N. PrevitaliD
- 23L. ParodiD
- 6A. TiritielloD
- 27M. AlborghettiD
- 26S. Di MarioD
- 18T. AnnoniM
- 5N. SquizzatoM
- 24A. FranzoniM
- 11B. GuiuM
- 32F. ForteF
- 12E. TorrielliG
- 91S. ColombiG
- 16R. TuricchiaM
- 15I. MarconiD
- 39M. MotoleseD
- 80L. BenedettiM
- 55Lucas MartelloM
- 28M. ValoriM
- 17M. TirelliF
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sudtirol | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella
- 7 March 2026Sudtirol 0–1 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 21 December 2025Virtus Entella 1–1 SudtirolSerie B
- 11 August 2019Virtus Entella 1–2 SudtirolCoppa Italia
The result against the call
Sudtirol beat Virtus Entella 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sudtirol at 38%. The goal: S. Davi 90' for Sudtirol. Sent off: Giacomo Stabile (Sudtirol) 44'. On expected goals it finished 0.97–0.56.